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How should China deal with India and the US? - Coggle Diagram
How should China deal with India and the US?
India
Not pressuring BRI initiative
Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is ultimately built on China's national interests
India doesn't want to build its economic relationship on another country's interest w/o anything in return...
from a realist's perspective: China pressures BRI → India turns to US (as it already is) to deter China's assertiveness, China may potentially lose India to US in extreme of cases...
Extend economic benefits
making India one of top shareholders (2nd in fact) of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
aside from banks and intergovernmental organizations, perhaps extending these benefits through FTAs, or other trade policies to boost Indian economic growth
Ensure Indian security; ≠ invasion
to have it not take part of anti-China coalition, ensuring India's security along the borders, around Himalayas;
China won't invade
US
Shift balance of power in Asia to pro-China
BRI = provide regional public goods, helping Asian countries' development
, → aspect which was and is primarily US-led in terms of economic and security dependency
*MAYBE CAN INCLUDE...; no military balancing and/or economic containment of China
→ ensuring this stays stable; this = pro-China balance of favor, B/C nations don't want to align themselves completely with US...
military balancing
most East Asian countries are decreasing shares of their economies devoted to military
also, demonstrating greater resources to militaries ISN't AUTOMATICALLY translated to response to China's power...
≠ economic containment
Asian countries increasingly are interacting with China, few signs that they would back away
-- SE Asian countries like Philippines, Indonesia + Malaysia, having China as largest foreign investor
-- East Asian region as a whole increasing relations
Lowering assertiveness in South China Sea
rapid buildup of state presence, specifically use of coercion actions
has in the past, for example in 2009, produced confrontations with US
wouldn't want bigger US confrontation to go about and have negative repercussions within the Pacific
maritime occupation/claim of South China Sea → waterway access being targeted = US getting in conflict with China over:
waterway path for US' own economy
accusing China of destabilizing region's economy + security (living under China's rules)
wouldn't want US' opinion to influence Asian states...
The more assertive China is, the more for security purposes Asian countries can turn to US for help
, e.g.:
Taiwan with 1979 Taiwan Relations Act
Japan with it being a maritime ally of US
WHICH IN TURN
would trigger China even more thinking that US' presence in Inso-Pacific keeps increasing more and more, China being more mad than it already is...