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Unit 4: Time Series - Coggle Diagram
Unit 4: Time Series
Measuring Forecast Accuracy
Mean Error (ME)
Mean Absolute Error (MAE)
Mean Squared Error (MSE)
Percentage Error (PE)
Mean Percentage Error (MPE)
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
Components of TS Data
Seasonal Component (S)
Yt = St , Tt , Ct , I
Trend Component (T)
Cyclical Component (C)
Irregular Component (I)
Models of Forecasting
Regression
Econometric Model
Intention-to-Buy & Anticipations Surveys
Input-Output Model
Types of Forecasting Techniques
Qualitative Techniques
Delphi method
Market Research
Panel Consensus
Visionary Forecast
Historical Analogy
Time series Analysis
Moving Averages
Exponential Smoothing
Box Jenkins
X-11
Trend Projections
Causal models
Moving Averages
Simple Moving Averages
Centered Moving Average
Weighted Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing Techniques
Single Exponential Smoothing
Cohort Analysis