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CHAPTER 12 - Coggle Diagram
CHAPTER 12
THE PAST'S PAST, AND THE PAST'S FUTURE
Prediction, Misprediction, and Happiness
Overtime, things will degrade
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The Melting Ice Cube
In the case of the melting ice cube the forward process is less complicated than the backward process, but if we consider much more complex events the nonlinearity occurs
Once Again, Incomplete Information
In theory randomness is an intrinsic property, but in practice it is an incomplete information, called "opacity"
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CONCLUSIONS
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The Black Swan asymmetry allows us to be confident about what is wrong, not about what we believe is right
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EPISTEMOCRACY, A DREAM
Monsieur de Montaigne, Epistemocrat
Montaigne considered the weakness of human, the limitations of rationality
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Epistemocracy
Society is built in a way where we follow those than can amass followers, because we are stonger together
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