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ECONOMICS THEME 4 - TOPIC 4.1 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS - Coggle Diagram
ECONOMICS THEME 4 - TOPIC 4.1 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
4.1.1 globalisation
characteristics
globalisation refers to the growing interdependence of countries and the rapid rate of change it brings about
can also be defined as the increasing integration of the worlds local, regional and national economies into a single international market
factors contributing to globalisation
improvements in transport infrastructure
improvements in IT and communication
trade liberalisation
international and financial markets
TNC's
impacts of globalisation
consumers
consumers have wider choice + potentially lower prices
workers
some have gained, some have lost
things such as sweatshops
but more jobs from TNC's
producers
firms can source and sell in more countries
cheaper work
larger markets
government
higher taxes from TNC's
can maximise gains
environment
bad for environment (more raw materials + more emissions)
economic growth
increases investment in countries
brings new tech and culture
tax TNC's
4.1.2 Specialisation and trade
Absolute and comparative advantage
the theory of
comparative advantage
states that countries should find specialisation mutually advantageous if the opportunity costs of production are different
Absolute advantage
exists when a country can produce a good more cheaply in absolute terms than another country
Assumptions + Limitations of the theory
Assumes there are no transport costs
Assumes costs are constant and no EoS
Goods are assumed to homogenous which is unlikely in real life
Assumes factors of production are perfectly mobile, perfect knowledge and no protectionsim measures
Pros and Cons of specialisation and trade
Pros
Comparative advantage shows how it can increase global economic growth
Benefit from EoS
Benefit from new factors of production available worldwide
Consumers have greater choice
More competition = More innovation
Cons
Can lead to overdependance
Can cause structural unemployment as jobs are lost to foreign firms who are more efficient
Environment will suffer
Loss of culture
4.1.3 Pattern of trade
Factors influencing the pattern of trade
Comparative advantage
e.g there has been a recent growth of exports from developing to developed countries due to low labour costs giving them an advantage
Emerging economies
Emerging economies will shift the trade pattern as they begin to import and export more
Trading blocs + bilateral trading agreements
These increase trade between certain countries and therefore decrease it to those left out
Relative exchange rates
The exchange rate affects the price of goods between countries so can influence rates of trade
4.1.4 Terms of trade
The Terms of Trade measures the rate of exchange of one product for another when two countries trade. It tells us the quantity of exports that need to be sold to purchase a given level of imports
it is
favourable
if terms of trade increase as the country can buy more imports with the same level of exports
it is
unfavourable
if they decrease when export prices fall or import prices rise
Formula = (Average export price index/average import price index) x100
Factors influencing a country's ToT
In the short run, exchange rates, inflation and changes in D/S of imports + exports affect the ToT as they affect the relative prices of imports and exports
In the long run, improvements in productivity will influence ToT
In the long run, changing incomes will also influence ToT due to its impact on D
In general,
anything which affects the price of a countries imports or exports
Impacts of changes
If PED is inelastic, a favourable movement would improve the current account on BOP
If PED is elastic, a favourable movement would worsen the current account
An improvement in ToT is likely to lead to a fall in GDP as if export prices rise, exports will fall and if imports prices fall, imports will rise
However, if improvement occurs due to an increase in D for exports or deterioration occurs due to an improvement in international competitiveness, it'll be beneficial
4.1.5 Trading blocs and the WTO
Types of trading blocs
A regional trading bloc is a group of countries within a geographical region that protect themselves from imports and non members
They sign an agreement to reduce or eliminate protectionist barriers
Preferential trading areas (PTA)
These are where tariff and other trade barriers are reduced on some, but not all goods
Free trade areas (FTA)
These occur when 2 or more countries in a region agree to reduce or eliminate trade barriers on all goods between members. Each member is able to impose its own barriers on goods outside the bloc
Customs unions
A customs union involves the removal of tariff barriers between members and the acceptance of common external tariffs against non-members
Common markets
First step towards full economic integration and members trade freely in all economic resources so barriers to trade in goods, capital and labour are removed. They impose common external tariffs outside the market and share common policies
Monetary unions
Two or more countries with a single currency, with an exchange rate monitored + controlled by one central bank e.g EU
An
economic union
is the final step where there will be a common market with coordination of social, fiscal and monetary policy
Costs and benefits
Advantages
Free trade encourages specialisation, this increases output according to comparative advantage
Larger customer market available
Firms are protected from cheaper imports
Competition increases innovation
More trade equals more jobs and consumers have more choice
Disadvantages
May be reduced competition as inefficient firms are driven out of the business and the market becomes oligopolistic
loss of resources and increased inequality as richer countries experience faster rates of growth
retaliation
lessen national sovereignty
Trade creation and diversion
Trade creation
is when a country moves from buying goods from a high cost to a lower cost country whereas
trade diversion
is when they go from low cost to a higher cost
trade creation is created by joining a trade union and the diagram is the opposite of a tariff diagram as tariffs are removed
trading blocs are more likely to lead to trade diversion
role of the WTO
It's 2 main aims were to bring about trade liberalisation and to ensure countries act according to the trade agreements they've signed
However, for any agreement to take place all countries must agree to it
Possible conflicts with the WTO
Regional trade agreements contradict WTO as a common external tariff introduces protectionism (Same with customs unions and free trade areas)
Some countries argue the WTO is too powerful
4.1.6 Restrictions on free trade
Reasons for restrictions
infant industry argument (to allow new industries to setup in a country without threat from overseas)
Job protection
protection from dumping (where a country with surplus goods sell them at a low price and harm domestic producers on those economies)
protection from unfair competition (e.g countries with really low labour costs)
Terms of Trade
Danger of over specialisation
Types of restrictions
Tariffs
these are taxes placed on imported goods, making them more expensive to buy and increasing demand for domestic goods
Quotas
these are limits placed on the level of imports allowed into a country
Subsidies to domestic products
these are payments to domestic producers which allows them to lower their costs
Non-tariff barriers
embargo (total ban on imported goods)
import licensing (countries/firms need a license to import and gov can restrict no. of licenses
legal and technical standards (some products can't be sold in the country)
voluntary export restraint agreement
impact of protectionist policies
Consumers
higher prices and less choice
Producers
domestic producers benefit due to less threats from abroad
however, the inability to import can increase costs of production
foreign producers lose out on customers abroad
Workers
little difference to employment
Governments
in the SR, governments benefit from tariff revenues
Living Standards
The imposition of import controls results in deadweight welfare loss
trade wars
Equity
has a regressive effect on the distribution as the lower incomes, who can't afford prices increasing are most effected
4.1.7 Balance of payments
components of the BOP
Current Account
split into...
trade in goods
trade in services
income + current transfers
Capital + Financial accounts
Capital - unimportant as it records transfers of immigrants and emigrants taking money abroad or back to UK
Financial - split into 3 main parts...
FDI (flow of money to purchase part of a foreign firm)
Portfolio investments (same as FDI but purchasing less than 10% of the firm)
Other investments
The balance of payments shows all flows into and out of a country and since total inflows must equal total outflows, the BOP must balance
Causes of deficits and surpluses
Short-term causes
high levels of consumer demand that domestic suppliers can't cover
strong exchange rate which makes imports cheaper leading to over expenditure
a high level of relative inflation will decrease exports as they're more expensive
Medium term causes
As a country loses it's comparative advantage people will buy elsewhere
Long term causes
Lack of capital investment (older and out of date tech reduces productivity)
Deindustrialisation
If a country has large amounts of natural resources (e.g saudi arabia has oil) they'll tend to have a surplus
corruption
Reducing imbalance
Demand side policies
Monetary or fiscal can be used to reduce AD which reduces imports
however, it's only short term and limits the economies output
Supply side policies
range of measures to improve productivity and efficiency (competition policy, improving labour or infrastructure)
focus on where the country has a real comparative advantage
Expenditure switching policies
Tariffs or quotas will reduce imports but can cause trade wars and incur consequences from WTO
Control inflation but this will lead to fall in demand for domestic goods
Depreciate the pound to make exports cheaper but this won't always work (marshall lerner curve) and this isn't feasible for countries with floating ER
Significance of global trade imbalances
???
current account imbalances become a problem when governments can't repay their foreign currency debts
current account surpluses cause a loss for citizens in a country who don't see high living standards which they could enjoy from consuming more
4.1.8 Exchange rates
the value of one currency in terms of another
or
the purchasing power of a currency in terms of what it can buy of other currencies
Exchange rate systems
A free floating system is where the value is determined purely by marked D+S with no target or intervention
Managed floating is where the value of the currency is determined by D+S but the central bank will try to prevent large changes through changing interest rates and buying + selling currency
A fixed system of when a government sets their currency against another and that ER doesn't change
revaluation
is when the currency is increased against the value of another under a fixed system.
Devaluation
is when it's decreased
Factors affecting floating exchange rates
changes in S+D
So factors that influence demand for the £ (e.g british goods demand, investment into UK, british banks)
Also factors influencing supply of £ (e.g british firms investing abroad, british people holidaying, holding money in foreign banks)
so overall, level exports + imports, level of investment, holidaying and speculation (e.g fear the fall in the pound so they buy other currency)
Government intervention
they can increase interest rates to strengthen the pound as demand for the pound will rise due to increased return on savings
they can also use gold and foreign currency reserves to weaken the £ by supplying lots of the £. To increase the £ they can increase demand for the £ by selling lots of foreign currency in exchange for pounds
Impact of changes in ER
Current account of BOP
the Marshall-Lerner condition states that PED of imports + exports must be elastic if currency devaluation is to work
the J-curve shows how the current account will worsen before it improves
Economic growth + unemployment
A weaker ER will increase exports and decrease imports, leading to an increase in AD which would increase employment and economic growth
falls in exchange rate will increase inflation as imports are more expensive
A fall in ER may increase FDI as it's cheaper to invest
4.1.9 International competitiveness
Measures of international competitiveness
Relative unit labour costs
- total wages / real output - the cost of employing workers for each unit of good
Relative export prices
- The price of UK exports compared to the exports of UK's main trading partners
Factors influencing international competitiveness
Exchange rates
- SPICED - but depends on elasticity
Productivity
Regulation
- increases costs and decision making time
Investment
- more you invest, more competitive you are
Taxation
- reduces investment
Inflation
- low levels increase competitiveness against countries with high levels
Economic Stability
- reduces investment
Flexibility
- flexible labour can respond to changes in demand and stop wage rises as people can easily move jobs
Competition and demand at home
- a good level of domestic demand will mean firms have EoS and competition makes them innovative
Factors of production
openness to trade
- reduces barriers so cheaper to export and reduces costs through cheap imports
Benefits and problems of competitiveness
Current account surpluses, foreign investment, more employment, higher wages and economic growth
However, competitiveness can be easily lost, countries may implement trade barriers, rising ER can reduce competitiveness and some countries become to dependant on overseas