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French Revolution, Congress of Vienna, Revolution of 1848, Austro-Prussian…
French Revolution
Nationalism
This makes war more likely since the conservatives have felt threatened by the anger that was caused by the liberals. This had made the conservatives fight in opposition to the liberals.
Congress of Vienna
Nationalism
This made war more likely because the Congress of Vienna worked to a certain point but then it failed regarding internal policies which led conflicts to rise. The Congress of Vienna oppressed liberalism which could potentially lead the liberals to fight back.
Revolution of 1848
Imperialism
This makes war more likely because liberals were broken down into separate groups and started fighting the monarchs. The monarchs will fight the war back which will make war more likely.
Austro-Prussian War
Nationalism
This would make war more likely because Austro had attempted to attack Prussia and lost. Prussia had gained all of their territory which unified Germany as a state. Germany would fight to gain their power back.
Franco-Prussian War
Nationalism
Bismarck rewrites Kaiser’s letter saying he will put a Prussian throne. France gets mad because of this alliance and starts attacking Prussia. This might lead Prussia to fight back.
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Bulgarian Crisis
Nationalism and Imperialism
This was more likely to begin war because nationalists in Eastern Rumelia and Bulgaria revolted against the Ottoman Empire to gain independence. They tried to fight to become self-governing.
Removal of Bismarck
Imperialism
This was likely to start a war because Bismarck tried to become allies with every country around him. These countries had overlapped so if one country had a conflict, other countries would be involved in these conflicts as well.
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Start of Weltpolitik
Imperialism
This was more likely to start war because Kaiser was lacking coordination in foreign policy. This led to tension and for international relations to become more transparent. Countries had seen Germany as a danger to world peace because they were putting ambition over common sense. Countries would want to go to war to weaken the power of Germany and Germany would respond aggressively to this.
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Serbian-Russian Alliance
Imperialism and Alliances
This made war more likely because Russia and Serbia had an alliance just in case Austria-Hungary had attacked them.
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Entente Cordiale
Alliance
Kaiser had wanted to heighten the fears in France, Britain, and Russia about the German imperial ambitions. Because of this, Franco-Russian relations and Britain decided to go in an anti-Germany direction. This triple alliance had created the Entente Cordiale which is more likely to begin war because Germany was probably frightened by this alliance to stop Germany from becoming too powerful.
Moroccan Crisis #1
Imperialism
Kaiser had gone to Morocco’s port to request equal trade for German trade. The French had gained diplomatic victory over Germany at Algeciras and Morocco had become independent but France and Spain had gained authority over the police. This could’ve made Kaiser attack back.
Anglo-Russian Relations
Alliances
This would likely start war because other countries began to become allies against Germany which made Germany’s power weaker. In this case, Germany would fight back against them to get their power back.
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Moroccan Crisis #2
Imperialism
This would have made war more likely because Germany’s desire for a navy on a world scale made Britain want to maintain their best naval army. Naval races frightened Britain about Germany. The British made a plan to send troops to France so France could gain the territory of Morocco. The high tension between these countries had made war more likely with their navy.
Balkan League Creation
Alliances
This was more likely to begin war because the Balkan League saw that the Turks were weak and decided to take this as an advantage to gain European territory.
First Balkan War
Nationalism
This was more likely to cause war because there was tension and rivalry in the Balkans and they all wanted power and land as well as independence instead of being under Ottoman rule.
Second Balkan War
Imperialism
This led to war because Bulgaria had thought they did not gain as much territory as Serbia from the Treaty of London. Therefore, Bulgaria decided to attack Serbia which led to other countries declaring war.
Assasination of ArchDuke
Imperialism
This made war more likely because the assassination of the ArchDuke was blamed by Serbia even with no proof. Austria-Hungary had agreed to go to war with Serbia with Germany which would also bring Russian intervention and European war. These countries were mad and had wanted Austria to win over Serbia.
Blank Cheque
Alliances
This made war more likely because Germany had given support to Austria to go to war. With the risks of Russian intervention and European war, Germany was still willing to risk it. The German decision to support Austria aimed to provoke war.
A-H Ultimatum to Serbia
Militarism
This made war more likely because Austria had created an ultimatum that demanded to put down the terrorist activites of Serbian nationalists and Serbia had denied.
Russian Mobilization
Militarism
Germany sent an ultimatum to Russia that Germany would go to war unless Russia ceased all military preparations.This made war more likely because the German government had informed the Russian government that Russian mobilization would also lead to German mobilization.
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Belgium Invasion
Militarism
This was more likely to begin war because Germany declared war on France and in order to attack them they crossed Belgium to avoid the French German border but Belgium did not want them to go through. However, Germany forcefully invaded Belgium