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Thesis Outline - Coggle Diagram
Thesis Outline
Chapter 3: Structural Consequences of Labor Force Trends
Currency increasing in value (See RGW paper for sources)
Financial market growth and integration (Huang)(potentially WBG's 200p report)
CAS decreasing (SOURCE NEEDED)
Conclusions drawn
Background
Family Planning Policy (1971) and One Child Policy (1979) (See HIST 360 paper for sources)
Deng Xiaoping policy reforms (1978) (See HIST 360 paper for sources)
Mao Zedong age and ending (See HIST 360 paper for sources)
Population concerns (qualitative) and policy changes (See HIST 360 paper for sources)
Chapter 1: Labor Force Trends
1B. LTP
Has it been passed?
Approaching (Islam and Yokota) (Das, IMF)
Not in foreseeable future (Liu)(Fukao)(Yin)
Passed ~2003 (Zhang)
What it means
General Theory (Lewis, William A.)
Urbanization
1C. Data Analysis (primary data and KNIME)
Data exploration and correlation
Independent and dependent variable explanation - rationale
Linear Regression - LFGR: analysis and simple results (t- and p-values, R-squared, trend)
Polynomial Regression - LFGR: analysis and simple results (t- and p-values, R-squared, trend)
Linear Regression - subpopulation Persons Engaged: analysis and simple results (t- and p-values, R-squared, trend)
Polynomial Regression - subpopulation Persons Engaged: analysis and simple results (t- and p-values, R-squared, trend)
Conclusions drawn
How are independent variables connected to Labor Force
What does prediction show?
Prediction: Persons engaged polynomial regression
1A. Demographic Dividend (Li et al.)(Peng, X.)
Chapter 2: Independent Variable Trends
Conclusions drawn
In-depth analysis of independent variables meanings (T-values in-depth - sign, size details in addition to significance, ramifications and meaning qualitatively, review of independent variable's trend with individual graphs)
Trend and Trend-sqared
Dummies - Family Planning and One Child
Wages: speed (SOURCE NEEDED)
General trend (Li et al.)
Tertiary education: speed (SOURCE NEEDED - look at Japan/US/UK educational development trends)
General trend (Li et al.)(Hu et al.)
Urban populationmrban growth speed (Sun et al.)
General trend (SOURCE NEEDED)
Multicollinearity: how have variables impacted LFGR, and how has LFGR impacted variables (summary of previous point