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JOH's Authority - Coggle Diagram
JOH's Authority
Evidence of changes in authority after 2017
None of the majors of the 4 most populated cities belongs to the PNH. LIBRE almost acquired an absolute majority in congress. Only 30% of the congressmen belong to PNH.
2021 elections had the greatest participation in 20 years.
The approval rate dropped from a low 49% in 2017 to 41% in 2018
"Ortega negoció con Estados Unidos"
MASSIVE propaganda in the 2 biggest newspapers in 2020-2021 could not prevent LIBRE victory
Before the Political Crisis
Good
He made incredible improvements to the country's security
Very good US-Honduras relationships [Cite Daniel Runde]
Bad
He sought reelection despite previously claiming that he would only serve for 4 terms and despite it being unconstitutional.
The economy declined
His political party was involved in multiple corruption scandals including:
IHSS
A steep decline in IHSS quality
Hilda Hernandez--Porfirio Lobo
Fabio Lobo
After the Political Crisis
Good
US and EU rapidly acknowledged the offciial election results after the recount.
Bad
Tony Hernández was captured in 2018
JOH lost support from the US government
Reasons Why The 2017 Crisis Derived in Changes to Authority
32 people died in protests, many more were injured and news of the police brutality and repression reached a worldwide audience.
It was a catalyst for mass migration to the U.S.
This mass migration placed international focus on Honduran national Politics
Corruption and drug trafficking by JOH and other network members
MASSIVE non-violent campaign
Very popular resistance songs
It was made clear that JOH violated rule of law
Stand-still of the nation
Repression against peaceful protestors
Tear gas
Curfew while votes were counted
Arrests
JOH ignored the OEA recommendations