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Anticipate Opportunities and Threats - Coggle Diagram
Anticipate Opportunities and Threats
Start By what you
know
to be true
Use certainties to anticipate what is likely to happen
don't look for accurate predictions, but make "Intelligent bets" on what is to come
Hypothesis driven process, not certainty driven
helps building the habit of thinking ahead and proactively
asking what you think might happen based on the info you're given
Pieces of info you might know: Trends, research, facts
common questions:
What’s happening in the world? In our industry? For our customers?
What commitments has our company made to customers, vendors, and employees?
What strategic directions is our company already exploring?
Mindset shift when thinking about the future
Shift from "should" to "could"
Problems with asking "what should we do"
fear driven
focuses on failure and problem avoidance
risk averse
benefits of asking "what could we do"?
opens conversation to wider range of posibilites
Focuses on abilities, action and implementation
shift from "will" to "may"
"what will happen" is closed minded and assumes certainty of predictions
"what may happen" is open minded and focuses on possibilities and alternative outcomes
Think creatively about the future
give yourself freedom to diverge
Divergent thinking is a thought process or method used to generate creative ideas by exploring many possible solutions.
look for odd and unconventional alternatives when thinking about the future without focusing on feasibility, desirability, nor viability
for now ;)
practice divergence with improve methods
ask "yes and"
include people from outside the team
avoid judgement of ideas
generate as many ideas as possible
then converge
focus on logic and analisis
more realistic
Convergent thinking occurs when the solution to a problem can be deduced by applying established rules and logical reasoning.
Explore future scenarios
Understand outside forces influencing you company
goal: no predictions, think about opportunities and threats
common pitfalls
Treating all scenarios like perfect predictions
Getting overwhelmed with all possibilities
playing it safe
assuming future will be like the present
Specify the situation you are looking to explore and a timeframe
List what you know and don’t know
Identify four plausible, interesting, and relevant scenarios
Look for opportunities that would be true regardless