economic growth

recession

economic and technical

problems

  • loss of output and welfare
  • increased unemployment
  • strain on government budgets
  • negative outlook and pessimism
  • may cause deflationary spiral

actual vs potential economic growth

actual:

  • % annual increase in equilibrium national income
  • short run -> determined by growth in AD and/or increased SRAS

potential:

  • % annual increase in capacity of economy to produce
  • determined by incr. LRAS (i.e. incr. productive capacity)
  • long run -> determined by supply-side factors

when actual > potential, idle resources and unemployment decreases, incr. inflationary pressure


when potential > actual, leads to incr. spare capacity and unemployment, hence incr. gap between potential and actual output

causes, policies, consequences

causes

policies

  • fiscal policy (encourage investment and technological improvements
  • monetary policy
  • aggregate ss-side policies
  • ss-side factors (incr. qqt of fop
  • dd-side factors
  • structural factors
  • external factors

consequences

benefits:

  • incr. level of consumption, incr. material sol
  • helps avoid other macroeconomic problems
  • enables easier redistribution of income
  • society can afford to care more for the environment

costs:

  • current opp. cost of growth
  • environmental costs, depletion of non-renewable resources
  • effects on income distribution
  • effects on unemployment
  • social effects
  • impact on balance of payments

measured by % change in real GDP

inclusive growth

creates opportunities and distributes benefits of economic growth across society


measured by:

  • growth and development
  • inclusion
  • intergenerational equity and sustainability

economic development

economic growth accompanied by qualitative increase in sol


measured by:

  • economic indicators (change in real gdp/capita, population demographics, income distribution, etc.)
  • non-economic indicators (physical qol index, measure of economic welfare, hdi)