economic growth
recession
economic and technical
problems
- loss of output and welfare
- increased unemployment
- strain on government budgets
- negative outlook and pessimism
- may cause deflationary spiral
actual vs potential economic growth
actual:
- % annual increase in equilibrium national income
- short run -> determined by growth in AD and/or increased SRAS
potential:
- % annual increase in capacity of economy to produce
- determined by incr. LRAS (i.e. incr. productive capacity)
- long run -> determined by supply-side factors
when actual > potential, idle resources and unemployment decreases, incr. inflationary pressure
when potential > actual, leads to incr. spare capacity and unemployment, hence incr. gap between potential and actual output
causes, policies, consequences
causes
policies
- fiscal policy (encourage investment and technological improvements
- monetary policy
- aggregate ss-side policies
- ss-side factors (incr. qqt of fop
- dd-side factors
- structural factors
- external factors
consequences
benefits:
- incr. level of consumption, incr. material sol
- helps avoid other macroeconomic problems
- enables easier redistribution of income
- society can afford to care more for the environment
costs:
- current opp. cost of growth
- environmental costs, depletion of non-renewable resources
- effects on income distribution
- effects on unemployment
- social effects
- impact on balance of payments
measured by % change in real GDP
inclusive growth
creates opportunities and distributes benefits of economic growth across society
measured by:
- growth and development
- inclusion
- intergenerational equity and sustainability
economic development
economic growth accompanied by qualitative increase in sol
measured by:
- economic indicators (change in real gdp/capita, population demographics, income distribution, etc.)
- non-economic indicators (physical qol index, measure of economic welfare, hdi)