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Opinion/Exit Polls in India - Coggle Diagram
Opinion/Exit Polls in India
What are Opinion Polls?
Wide recognition for assessing the outcomes of elections in India
ECI allows the dissemination of the exit poll results half an hour after the end of polling on the last poll day
Surveys or an inquiry designed to gauge public opinion after election
Need of such polls
Obtaining Specific viewpoint
Opportunity to express for public
Gauging Popular opinion
Issues with such polls (in context to elections)
Manipulation of voters
Sensationalization by media
Authenticity
Ridiculing the public mandate
How is an exit poll different from a pre-poll survey?
RP Act: Sec 126A and 126B to explicitly ban the conducting and dissemination of exit polls during the period laid out by the EC
Pre-poll surveys or opinion polls are conducted before the elections
The results of exit polls can’t be released mid-way during a multi-phase election
Exit polls generally involve asking citizens about their voting preferences on Election Day itself.
Why does it persist in India?
It is granted by the Constitution (Article 19)
It is conveniently forgotten is that this freedom is not absolute
Exercise of Free Speech
Limited restrictions
Restrictions on A19
Free and Fair elections criteria
RP Act
Hurdles to free and fair elections
Propaganda politics
Spread of Disinformation
Prevalence of paid news in India
Betting over elections
Growing weaponization of opinion polls
Way forward
Mandatory disclosure
ECI should set standards
Independent regulator such as British Polling Council
A robust sampling methodology