Please enable JavaScript.
Coggle requires JavaScript to display documents.
International Monetary System - Coggle Diagram
International Monetary System
Evolution of the International Monetary System
Definition
Money and finance can serve political, as well as economic, purposes.
In current society, control over the issuing and management of money has been a key source of power.
5 stage:
Before 1875: Bimetallism
a “double standard” in the sense that free coinage was maintained for both gold and silver
Countries on the bimetallic standard often experienced the well-known phenomenon referred to as Gresham’s law
1875-1914: Classical Goal Standard
First full-fledged gold standard, a monetary system in which currencies are defined in terms of their gold content, was established in 1821 in Great Britain.
Under the gold standard, the exchange rate between any two currencies will be determined by the gold contents
Price-specie-flow mechanism
an automatic correction of payment imbalanced between countries operating under the gold standard
Key shortcomings of the gold standard
Supply of newly minted gold is so restricted that the growth of world trade and investment can be seriously hampered for lack of sufficient monetary reserves
No mechanism to compel each major country to abide by the rules of the game
1915-1944: Interwar Period
World War I (1914-1929)
Fight between factions
Treaty (mainly Britain, France, Russia and then the United States, Brazil)
Union (mainly Germany, Austria-Hungary, Bulgaria and Ottoman).
Result
Only benefits the imperialist countries that win the battle, especially the US.
The world map is divided
World War II (1929-1944)
In 1929: The Great Depression began after the stock market crash, especially in Austria, Germany, and the United States.
In September 1931: the UK suspends the gold standard and let the pound float.
In April 1933:The United States got off gold after experiencing a spate of bank failures and outflows of gold.
In 1934: The US increased the price of gold to 35 USD/ounce, manipulating the international gold market.
In 1936: France abandoned the gold standard.
In 1944: Conference Bretton Woods.
1945-1972: Bretton Woods System
Bretton Wood system established in 1944
To restore the world economy as well as create a new international monetary order.
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
an international organization that promotes global economic growth and financial stability, encourages international trade, and reduces poverty.
SDRs
an artificial currency instrument created by the International Monetary Fund, which uses them for internal accounting purposes.
1973-present: The Flexible Exchange
Rate Regime
The flexible exchange rate regime that followed the demise of the Bretton Woods system was ratified after the fact in January 1976 when the IMF members met in Jamaica and agreed to a new set of rules for the international monetary system.
The key elements of the Jamaica Agreement include:
Flexible exchange rates were declared acceptable to the IMF members.
Gold was abandoned as an international reserve asset.
Non-oil-exporting countries and less-developed countries were given greater access to IMF funds.
European Monetary System
(EMS) is a system of stabilizing exchange rates. Its aim was to create a currency stability zone in Europe and strengthen cooperation between member states in the area of monetary policy.
The main elements of the European Monetary System are:
ECU (European Currency Unit) - a European currency unit operating in the intangible sphere.
Exchange rate mechanism - initially the parity of currencies
Credit mechanism
EMS rules
The basic principle of operation is the stability of courses,...
Central banks that are part of the ESA are required to intervene in order to keep the exchange rate fluctuations
In order to obtain funds for these operations
If, despite the intervention, it is impossible to maintain the exchange rate within a certain range
the EMS led to the approximation of economic results, especially the inflation rate in the member countries.
Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes
International Monetary System “Good”
Adjustment
Provide an efficient mechanism to restore balance of payments equilibrium whenever it is disturbed
Faith
Provide safeguards to prevent a crisis of confidence in the system resulting in panic flights from one reserve asset to another
Liquidity
It should be able to provide the world economy with sufficient monetary reserves to support the growth of international trade and investment
Flexible exchange rate
Arguing against
There are no safeguards to prevent a crisis.
Exchange rate uncertainty can hinder international trade.
Arguments in favor
National policy of autonomy (independence).
Easier external adjustment.
The Current Exchange Rate Arrangements
Free floating
The free floating currency system is the predominant system of foreign exchange that is prevalent in the world today.
Floating
A floating exchange rate is a regime where the currency price of a nation is set by the forex market based on supply and demand relative to other currencies.
Pegged exchange rate within horizontal banks
often the agency that identifies this fixed exchange rate,The central bank is often the agency thatidentifies this fixed exchange rate
Crawl-like arrangement
must remain within a narrow margin of 2% relative to a statistically identified trend for six months or more
Crawling peg
-A crawling peg is a band of rates that a fixed-rate exchange rate currency is allowed to fluctuate,
Stabilized arrangement
entails a spot market exchange rate that remains within a margin of 2 percent for 6 months or more and is not floating.
Conventional fixed pegs
Flexibility of monetary policy, though limited, is greater than in the case of exchange arrangements with no separate legal tender and currency boards
Currency board
A currency board is an extreme form of a pegged exchange rate. Management of the exchange rate and the money supply
No separate legal tender
Adopting such an arrangement implies complete surrender of the monetary authorities’ control over the domestic monetary policy.
The Asian Currency Crisis (1997)
Result
Leads to an unprecedented deep, wide and prolonged recession in East Asia
Much more serious than the EMS crisis and the Mexican peso
Many companies with foreign currency bonds were forced to go bankrupt
Lesson
Fixed exchange rate, but adjustable
Triple incompatibility shows that it is difficult, if not impossible, to have all three conditions:
Free international capital flows
Independent monetary policy
Fixed exchange rate
Inviting speculative attacks at a time of financial vulnerability
Source
Real exchange rate appreciates--> export growth slows down.
Japan's prolonged recession (and falling yen)--> hurt neighboring countries
Fixed or stable exchange rate --> encourages margin-free financial transactions and undue risk-taking by both borrowers and lenders
Due to the opening of capital markets, large inflows of private capital -> credit boom in Asian countries.
Usually, something has to be given away - it's Thai food
The sudden collapse of the bhat affected a flight of terror away from other Asian countries
5.The Mexican Peso Crisis + The Argentine Peso Crisis
The Mexican Peso Crisis
Reason
Zapatistas armed forces rebelled
current account deficit
Redirect investment to developing countries
Developments
At the end of September, José Francisco Ruiz Massieu was assassinated
Many companies reported a decrease in profits
Government bond yields start to rise
At the end of October, the governor of the central bank of Mexico announced that Mexico's foreign exchange reserves were only 17.12 billion dollars.
RESULTS
The sudden increase in foreign debt has caused the balance sheets of Mexican enterprises and banks to deteriorate. As a result, the Mexican economy fell into a real crisis.
On December 20, 1994, the peso depreciated sharply. The government intervened to reduce the rate of devaluation, but it was not effective and lost a lot of foreign exchange reserves of the state. On the 22nd, the government had to declare the peso floating.
The Argentine Peso Crisis
3 factors collapse of the currency board system and ensuing economic crisis
(ii) labor market inflexibility
iii) contagion from the financial crises in Russia and Brazil.
i) the lack of fiscal discipline
History
in the second half of the 1990s, A strong peso hurt exports from Argentina and caused a protracted economic downturn
the abandonment of the peso–dollar parity in January 2002
Caused severe economic and political distress in the country.
1.the peso was first linked to the U.S. dollar at parity in February 1991 under the Convertibility Law, initial economic effects were quite positive
Argentina’s chronic inflation was curtailed dramatically and foreign investment began to pour in, leading to an economic boom.
4.In the late 1990s, the government encountered increasing difficulty with rising debts internal and external debts.
5.the abandonment of the peso–dollar parity in January 2002.In early 2005, bondholders finally agreed to the restructuring, under which they took a cut of about 70 percent on the value of their bond holdings.
4.The Euro and the European Monetary Union
Cost
Loss of national monetary and exchange rate policy independence
Benefits
Enhanced efficiency and competitiveness of the European economy
Elimination of exchange rate uncertainty
Political cooperation and peace in Europe
Conditions conducive to the development of continental capital markets with depth and
liquidity comparable to those of the U.S.
Reduced transaction costs
The Euro currency was officially introduced on January 1, 1999
rebalancing of the world economy
against the monopoly of the dollar