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Isaac Asimov's Predictions for 2019 - Coggle Diagram
Isaac Asimov's Predictions for 2019
Asimov paints a more optimistic future than a film "Blade Runner"
3 concepts
Computerization
Asimov coined the terms "robotics" and "psychohistory" (it means that people may predict large-population grop behavior with computers and right now we can do it
Computers are essential to the world industry and to the governments
Asimov was a spokesman For Radio Shack's TRS-80 computer
Space Utilization (made after the Appolo Missions)
mining the moon
building power satellites
Nuclear War
Asimov preferred to think that there will be no nuclear war becauce he didn't see any point in examining a future where that happened.
The possibility of a modern Luddite rebellion (against using computers and machines) smashing up all our technology. However, he decided to speak about the future where that doesn't occur
Fulcrum Fallacy (a tendency to assume the future will either be utopian or distopian, rather than somewhere in between)
The World as the Digital Divide between those who have computers and use them and those who don't
continuing education for new jobs
some errors which the speaker noticed
time for adaptation
the fact that works based on a specific task may be eliminated
we'd eventually have fewer jobs, not enough for everyone
over-population
only a few will have all
1957 "Galley Slave" about robots to proofread books
Some people say that Asimov was too optimistic about future but the speaker says that his fault is being a bit too pessimistic about people in general