Cohort studies

Measures of Outcome

Incidence rate

Cumulative incidence/Incidence proportion [risk]

Per 1000 people

No. of people at risk of the disease at the start of the period

Time period refers to the time an individual remains free of the disease.

Expressed>no. of new cases/total person-years of observation.

No. of people who get the disease (new cases) in a specified period.

Measures of association btwn exposure & outcome

Absolute Comparison

Relative Comparison

Measures ratios=e.g Risk ratios,relative risk

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Relative risk

Clinic relevance=indicates individual risk

compares the risk among the exposed to the risk among the unexposed

Measures difference=Risk differences, attributable risk

Attributable risk

Measure the difference in frequency of disease (risk) btwn the exposed and unexposed groups

indicates the risk of disease in an exposed group caused(attributed) by the exposure

Clinic relevance=measure extent of a disease caused by an exposure

Interpretation of Relative Risk

Exposure=Risk factor?

Risk Comparison

RR=1:No Difference btwn exposed & unexposed

RR>1Risk of disease is higher in exposed than in unexposed group

RR<1:risk of disease in exposed group is lower than in unexposed

RR<1:Reduces risk factor>Protective=

RR=1:No

RR>1:Increases risk factor

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Attributable Risk interpretation

Relative Risk interpretation

Implications: Significant=no overlapping 1 , non-significant=overlaps 1

Confidence intervals=check precision of Risk estimate

AR of 0 means no difference so no additional risk caused by that exposure

Predict burden on health services