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Cuba, 1959-62, Timeline, Kennedy: better reputation in US and West; but…
Cuba, 1959-62
Arms Race
Curtis LeMay's Sunday Punch Strategy - A massive first strike on the Soviet Union. Groups of US planes fly with nuclear weapons onboard towards the Soviet Union
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Massive Retaliation
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Transition to defence policy dominated by investment in nuclear deterrence rather than high spending on conventional arms
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MAD
If each side had nuclear weapons, if one attacked first, the other would also attack. Both sides destroyed.
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Cuban Missile Crisis
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Events of the Crisis
Tuesday 16th October - Kennedy is informed of missile build-up. Executive Committee of National Security Council formed
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Monday 22nd October - Kennedy declares blockade, openly addresses Khrushchev to remove the missiles
Tuesday 23rd October - Khrushchev's letter received by Kennedy - Khrushchev does not want to observe the blockade and denies the existence of Cuban missiles
24th October - First Soviet ships carrying missiles approach 800km exclusion zone.
10:32am - 20 Soviet ships stop and turn around
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26th October - New letter sent by K - offer to negotiate over missiles in Cuba if blockade is lifted and US does not invade Cuba. K ack's existence of Cuban missiles for the first time
27th October - Second letter from K - calls for withdrawal of US missiles in Turkey as further condition
U2 plane shot down over Cuba - pilot killed. Kennedy advised to retaliate, but stalls. Accepts the terms of first letter (not second). If USSR does not accept, US will attack
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Introduction
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Cultural
Popular holiday destination for wealthy Americans, who enjoyed its beaches and entertainment industry (notably gambling and brothels)
Politics
In the 1950s, Cuba was ruled by the corrupt and unpopular military dictator Batista, who was supported by the USA
Cuban Revolution
1956: Former lawyer and political activist Fidel Castro started a campaign of guerrilla warfare to overthrow Batista regime. Supported by second-in-command Che Guevara. Over next two years, the revolution spread throughout Cuba
January 1959: The fall of Havana; Batista fled abroad (along with a small number of upper- and middle-class Cuban exiles)
Castro becomes Prime Minister + leader of socialist govt.
Policies
Nationalised industries - sugar production, oil refinement, taking over businesses owned by Americans or wealthy Cubans
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Communism
Initially post-rev. Cuba not Communist, but most of his top economic and military officials were committed Marxists
Quickly established diplomatic relations with USSR
1960 - Cuba receiving economic and military aid from Soviets
December 1961 - Castro declares in a televised address that he is a "Marxist-Leninist and shall be one until the end of my life"
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US worries
Castro had challenged US supremacy; worried about him turning Cuba Communist, which he officially did in 1961
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Cuban exiles in US formed powerful pressure groups, demanding action
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Jan 1961 - Kennedy is elected President; election manifesto says his opponents had been soft on Cuba; perhaps trying to prove himself
US Actions
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July 1960 - US stopped buying Cuban sugar; made up 80% of Cuba's total export market. Later in the year, the US banned all trade with Cuba
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Bay of Pigs
Plan
CIA planning invasion using Cuban exiles trained and equipped by the US during Eisenhower's presidency. Eisenhower approved the idea March 1960
Kennedy was briefed when he became President; keen to conceal US involvement; willing to supply training and equipment but not US troops
17 April 1961 - 1400 anti-Castro Cuban exiles, trained in Guatemala by CIA, landed at Bay of Pigs to try overthrow Castro.
Castro learned about the Guatemala guerrilla training camps, October 1960, through Cuban intelligence
All of the invading exiles were killed, captured or surrendered within a few days
Met by 20,000 Cuban troops.
What went wrong?
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Castro ordered 20,000 troops to counter the exiles
JFK sent 6 American fighter planes and B-26s an hour too late - shot down by Cubans, invasion crushed later that day
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Air Strike, April 15
News reported on images of repainted US planes
Highlighted US involvement in the raids
JFK cancelled second air strike
Aftermath
Castro returns prisoners in 1962, in exchange for $53 million worth of baby food and medicine
Operation Mongoose - plan to sabotage and destabilize the Cuban government and economy
Included possibility of assassinating Castro
Summary and Aftermath
USA
Hostile actions
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Bay of Pigs invasions, and Kennedy's desire to look strong at home afterwards
Kennedy rejects discreet diplomacy at the start of the crisis, goes public with naval blockade
Defusing tensions
Delays air attack on Cuba despite pressure from hardliners
Makes an offer based on Khrushchev's letter of Oct 26
USSR
Hostile actions
Sent missiles to Cuba; highly provocative; unlikely to have stayed hidden for long
Moreover, conventional Soviet forces would probably have been enough to deter US invasion of Cuba
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K denies missiles presence 23rd October, triggering the US further
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Defusing tensions
Sends letter seeking resolution, 26th October
Cooperation
28th Oct - K accepts K's deal through both formal negotiations and secret meetings.
USSR remove Cuban missiles
US calls off blockade and does not invade Cuba
USA also agrees to secretly remove their missiles from Turkey in the coming months
Aftermath
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Hot Line - direct communications link between White House and the Kremlin, June 20, 1963
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Nuclear Test Ban Treaty signed between two countries, August 1963, banned testing of nuclear weapons in atmosphere (but not making/keeping them)
For the rest of the Cold War, both sides avoided direct confrontation and instead fought proxy wars through allies where possible
Who was better off?
Kennedy or Khrushchev
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Kennedy came out of the crisis with a greatly improved reputation in his own country and the West - he had stood up to Khrushchev and forced him to back down.
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Kennedy had proved he was able to stand up to the hardline ‘hawks’ in his own government and make wise strategic decisions.
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Kennedy had to remove US missiles from Turkey, which annoyed his NATO allies (technically this was supposed to be a joint decision, not just the USA).
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Khrushchev claimed the crisis as a victory and was able to present himself as a responsible peacemaker who had been willing to compromise.
Cuba remained a valuable ally for the USSR and a useful base to support Communists in Latin America.
The USA removed its nuclear missiles from Turkey, reducing the threat to the USSR.
Khrushchev had to keep the removal of US missiles from Turkey secret, so he was unable to use it for propaganda purposes.
Khrushchev had been forced to back down and remove Soviet missiles from Cuba - this was regarded as a humiliating climb-down by hardliners in the Kremlin and by the Soviet military. This may have contributed to his removal from power by his rivals in 1964 and his replacement by Brezhnev.
The missile gap remained - the USSR went on to develop a stockpile of ICBMs at great expense but it never caught up with the USA.
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Kennedy: better reputation in US and West; but Cuba still Communist so Containment failed; stood up to hardline hawks in govs and made wise strategic decisions; no nuclear war; Turkey missile removal annoyed NATO as it was not a joint decision; removal of Turkish missiles kept secret so US kept reputation
Khrushchev: claimed victory, responsible peacemaker, willing to compromise; Cuba still valuable ally; useful base to support Commies in Latin America; no Turkey missiles so reduced threat; but was kept secret so coudn't use it for propaganda purposes; hardliners in Kremlin/Soviet military saw K's climb-down as embarrasing - removal from power by 1964 by rivals; missile gap remained as ICBM stockpile never caught up with USA