Cuba, 1959-62
Introduction
Economy
Much of Cuban industry controlled by US business interests
Especially sugar export trade
By late 1950's US businesses owned:
90% of Cuban mines
80% public utilities
50% railways
40% sugar production
25% bank deposits
Source of cheap labour
Military
US had large naval base on Cuba
Cultural
Popular holiday destination for wealthy Americans, who enjoyed its beaches and entertainment industry (notably gambling and brothels)
Politics
In the 1950s, Cuba was ruled by the corrupt and unpopular military dictator Batista, who was supported by the USA
Cuban Revolution
1956: Former lawyer and political activist Fidel Castro started a campaign of guerrilla warfare to overthrow Batista regime. Supported by second-in-command Che Guevara. Over next two years, the revolution spread throughout Cuba
January 1959: The fall of Havana; Batista fled abroad (along with a small number of upper- and middle-class Cuban exiles)
Castro becomes Prime Minister + leader of socialist govt.
Timeline
Policies
Nationalised industries - sugar production, oil refinement, taking over businesses owned by Americans or wealthy Cubans
Land reform
Collectivised farms
Increased education
Nationalised healthcare
One-party govt.
Restricted religious freedom
Removed political opponents; executed many
Closed down casinos and brothels
Advertised Cuba as discrimination-free holiday destination for African Americans
Joining farms together to improve productivity
Opened new schools and nurseries
Land ownership capped; land taken from wealthy landowners and redistributed to peasants
Communism
Initially post-rev. Cuba not Communist, but most of his top economic and military officials were committed Marxists
Quickly established diplomatic relations with USSR
1960 - Cuba receiving economic and military aid from Soviets
December 1961 - Castro declares in a televised address that he is a "Marxist-Leninist and shall be one until the end of my life"
1965 - officially became the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba
US worries
Castro had challenged US supremacy; worried about him turning Cuba Communist, which he officially did in 1961
Cuba developing close relations with USSR
Contrary to US economic interests (seizure of American property/businesses in Cuba)
Cuban exiles in US formed powerful pressure groups, demanding action
Castro called on other Latin American govts. to act with more autonomy against the US
Jan 1961 - Kennedy is elected President; election manifesto says his opponents had been soft on Cuba; perhaps trying to prove himself
US Actions
Kept control of Guantanamo Bay naval base
CIA auth. by Eisenhower to try overthow Castro
Assassination attempts
Poison
Explosives
Exploding cigar
Trying to discredit him by exposing him to LSD just before an important broadcast
July 1960 - US stopped buying Cuban sugar; made up 80% of Cuba's total export market. Later in the year, the US banned all trade with Cuba
January 1961 - the US broke off all diplomatic relations with Cuba
April 1961 - Bay of Pigs invasion
Bay of Pigs
Plan
CIA planning invasion using Cuban exiles trained and equipped by the US during Eisenhower's presidency. Eisenhower approved the idea March 1960
17 April 1961 - 1400 anti-Castro Cuban exiles, trained in Guatemala by CIA, landed at Bay of Pigs to try overthrow Castro.
Castro learned about the Guatemala guerrilla training camps, October 1960, through Cuban intelligence
All of the invading exiles were killed, captured or surrendered within a few days
CIA expected the Cubans and parts of the Cuban military to support the exiles
Met by 20,000 Cuban troops.
Bay of Pigs chosen as landing site to disguise US support of the invasion and to receive little resistance to the force, especially at night.
Bad idea - landing site was more than 80 miles away from refuge in the Escambray Mountains if anything went wrong
Air Strike, April 15
News reported on images of repainted US planes
Highlighted US involvement in the raids
JFK cancelled second air strike
What went wrong?
Cuban planes heavily attacked Brigade 2506 (Cuban-exile invasion force)
Ground force had to deal with:
bad weather
soggy equipment
insufficient ammunition
Castro ordered 20,000 troops to counter the exiles
JFK sent 6 American fighter planes and B-26s an hour too late - shot down by Cubans, invasion crushed later that day
Kennedy was briefed when he became President; keen to conceal US involvement; willing to supply training and equipment but not US troops
Aftermath
Castro returns prisoners in 1962, in exchange for $53 million worth of baby food and medicine
Operation Mongoose - plan to sabotage and destabilize the Cuban government and economy
Included possibility of assassinating Castro
Arms Race
Curtis LeMay's Sunday Punch Strategy - A massive first strike on the Soviet Union. Groups of US planes fly with nuclear weapons onboard towards the Soviet Union
The air force initially dominated the defence budget/arms race with 47% of the defence budget
Competition between different branches of US armed forces
Led to each wanting their own nuclear weapons
Creation of nuclear cannons, backpacks, bazookas, and other types of weapons
Nuclear stockpile grew over time
1947: 13, 1953: 1100, 1960s: 31000
Massive Retaliation
Defence policy adopted under Eisenhower
US would use nuclear strikes against USSR if they attacked Europe
Transition to defence policy dominated by investment in nuclear deterrence rather than high spending on conventional arms
Pros and Cons
Pros
Cheaper in the long run
Forced a diplomatic solution
Eisenhower keen to balance federal budget
Better than expensive long-term commitment of US land forces to regions threatened by Communism
Alternative of all-out war terrible
Cons
Limited options in confrontation
Dien Bien Phu, 1954, did not help French; Eisenhower didn't want to use atomic bombs
Led to stockpiling of nuclear weapons
USSR did the same - nuclear arms race began
MAD
If each side had nuclear weapons, if one attacked first, the other would also attack. Both sides destroyed.
Hence deterred each side from attacking
Cuban Missile Crisis
Success of Containment Policy
Policies
Economic - 1960 - Banned imports of Cuban sugar and other commodities
Diplomatic - Jan 1961, the US broke off diplomatic relations with Cuba
Military - April 1961, the US-backed Bay of Pigs Invasion happened
Consequences of Policies
Cuba sold sugar to the USSR instead; the USSR sold oil and weapons to Cuba in return
Cuba was pushed closer to the USSR; became more openly associated with Communism
Bay of Pigs made Kennedy look weak to the world and especially the USSR
US appeared hostile and untrustworthy
Timeline Up to Crisis
April 1961 - Bay of Pigs Invasion
Rest of 1961 - Soviets sending arms to Cuba
May 1962 - USSR publicly admits it's selling arms to Cuba
July 1962 - Cuba now has the best-equipped army in Latin America
1000s of Soviet missiles, jet bombers and fighters, patrol boats, radar, tanks and Soviet technicians
11 September 1962 - Kennedy warns USSR that he will use "any means necessary" to prevent Cuba from becoming an offensive/nuclear military base. The USSR claims they have no intention to put nuclear missiles on Cuba
14 October 1962 - American U2 spy plane flies over Cuba and photographs Soviet nuclear missile sites under construction
Why did the USSR put nuclear missiles on Cuba?
Creates a bargaining counter with the USA over missiles in Turkey
Missiles in Turkey were close to USSR and left USSR at a disadvantage
Missiles in Cuba could be used to remove missiles from Turkey in exchange from removal of Cuban missiles
Cheap way to close the "missile gap" - only need IRBMs (that would take 20 mins to reach their target) and MRBMs (that take only 10 mins) to threaten whole of USA, as opposed to ICBMs
Makes the US much less likely to launch a "first strike" nuclear attack against the USSR
Due to the concept of MAD
Thereby removing USSR's military disadvantage
Genuine desire to defend Cuba against US attack in light of the Bay of Pigs incident
Extending Communism - having a strong Communist state in USA's backyard was good propaganda and would help spread Communism in Latin America
Pushing against USA's containment policy
Extend power of the USSR - the USSR controlled the Eastern Bloc countries (verify this)
Khrushchev felt the need to assert himself in the Kremlin, where he was still in Stalin's shadow
Stalin himself died in 1953 from a stroke and was held in high regard
insert fact here
Making the USA seem week would improve his image
JFK was a new, inexperienced president - Khrushchev viewed him as weak and wanted to test him
To lure the USA into a nuclear war - no attempt was made to camouflage the missile sites
This is unlikely when considering the concept of MAD
Kennedy's Options During The Crisis
Doing nothing - America has a greater nuclear arsenal anyway
But it would be another sign of weakness - the USSR had lied about the Cuban missiles
Surgical air attack - it would destroy the missiles before they were ready to use
BUT destruction of all sites could not be guaranteed
Even one left undamaged could launch a counterattack against the USA
The attack would inevitably kill Soviet soldiers - the USSR might retaliate at once
To attack without advance warning was seen as immoral
Invade Cuba - it would get rid of missiles and Castro, and American forces were already trained and available to do it
Yet this would almost certainly gain a response from the USSR to protect Cuba or to do something within the Soviet sphere of influence e.g. taking over Berlin
Diplomatic pressure - it would avoid conflict, but if the USA was forced to back down, it would be a sign of weakness
Naval Blockade
It would show that the USA is serious but not be a direct act of war.
It would put the burden on Khrushchev to decide what to do next.
The USA had a strong navy and could still take the other options if this one did not work
BUT it would not solve the main problem - the missiles were already on Cuba
They could be used within one week
The Soviet Union might retaliate by blockading Berlin as it had done in 1948
Events of the Crisis
Tuesday 16th October - Kennedy is informed of missile build-up. Executive Committee of National Security Council formed
Saturday 20th October - Kennedy decides on a blockade (quarantine) of Cuba
Monday 22nd October - Kennedy declares blockade, openly addresses Khrushchev to remove the missiles
Tuesday 23rd October - Khrushchev's letter received by Kennedy - Khrushchev does not want to observe the blockade and denies the existence of Cuban missiles
24th October - First Soviet ships carrying missiles approach 800km exclusion zone.
10:32am - 20 Soviet ships stop and turn around
25th October - Aerial photos show continued construction of missiles sites on Cuba
26th October - New letter sent by K - offer to negotiate over missiles in Cuba if blockade is lifted and US does not invade Cuba. K ack's existence of Cuban missiles for the first time
27th October - Second letter from K - calls for withdrawal of US missiles in Turkey as further condition
U2 plane shot down over Cuba - pilot killed. Kennedy advised to retaliate, but stalls. Accepts the terms of first letter (not second). If USSR does not accept, US will attack
28th October - K agrees to dismantle Soviet missiles in Cuba
Sunday 14th October - American U2 planes discover missile sites on Cuba
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Summary and Aftermath
USA
Hostile actions
Missiles in Turkey and Italy - threatened USSR
Hostile policies towards Cuba that pushed Castro towards USSR
Bay of Pigs invasions, and Kennedy's desire to look strong at home afterwards
Kennedy rejects discreet diplomacy at the start of the crisis, goes public with naval blockade
Defusing tensions
Delays air attack on Cuba despite pressure from hardliners
Makes an offer based on Khrushchev's letter of Oct 26
USSR
Hostile actions
Sent missiles to Cuba; highly provocative; unlikely to have stayed hidden for long
Moreover, conventional Soviet forces would probably have been enough to deter US invasion of Cuba
K saw JFK as weak for not responding to Berlin Wall 1961 - now testing further
K was keen to appear strong to critics at home after Berlin crisis
K denies missiles presence 23rd October, triggering the US further
25th October - USSR refuses to back down; missile sites work continues
27th Oct - K's second later pushes for Turkish missiles to be withdrawn - more demands
Defusing tensions
Sends letter seeking resolution, 26th October
Cooperation
28th Oct - K accepts K's deal through both formal negotiations and secret meetings.
USSR remove Cuban missiles
US calls off blockade and does not invade Cuba
USA also agrees to secretly remove their missiles from Turkey in the coming months
Aftermath
Historians agree that the Crisis helped that USA-USSR relations
Sides realised brinkmanship brought world closer to nuclear war - did not want it to happen again
Hot Line - direct communications link between White House and the Kremlin, June 20, 1963
Three months later Turkey missiles removed
Nuclear Test Ban Treaty signed between two countries, August 1963, banned testing of nuclear weapons in atmosphere (but not making/keeping them)
For the rest of the Cold War, both sides avoided direct confrontation and instead fought proxy wars through allies where possible
Who was better off?
Kennedy or Khrushchev
For Kennedy…
Kennedy came out of the crisis with a greatly improved reputation in his own country and the West - he had stood up to Khrushchev and forced him to back down.
Cuba remained a Communist state in the USA’s ‘backyard’: containment had failed.
Kennedy had proved he was able to stand up to the hardline ‘hawks’ in his own government and make wise strategic decisions.
There was not a nuclear war.
Kennedy had to remove US missiles from Turkey, which annoyed his NATO allies (technically this was supposed to be a joint decision, not just the USA).
The removal of missiles from Turkey was kept secret so the US did not publicly lose face.
For Khrushchev….
Khrushchev claimed the crisis as a victory and was able to present himself as a responsible peacemaker who had been willing to compromise.
Cuba remained a valuable ally for the USSR and a useful base to support Communists in Latin America.
The USA removed its nuclear missiles from Turkey, reducing the threat to the USSR.
Khrushchev had to keep the removal of US missiles from Turkey secret, so he was unable to use it for propaganda purposes.
Khrushchev had been forced to back down and remove Soviet missiles from Cuba - this was regarded as a humiliating climb-down by hardliners in the Kremlin and by the Soviet military. This may have contributed to his removal from power by his rivals in 1964 and his replacement by Brezhnev.
The missile gap remained - the USSR went on to develop a stockpile of ICBMs at great expense but it never caught up with the USA.
Kennedy: better reputation in US and West; but Cuba still Communist so Containment failed; stood up to hardline hawks in govs and made wise strategic decisions; no nuclear war; Turkey missile removal annoyed NATO as it was not a joint decision; removal of Turkish missiles kept secret so US kept reputation
Khrushchev: claimed victory, responsible peacemaker, willing to compromise; Cuba still valuable ally; useful base to support Commies in Latin America; no Turkey missiles so reduced threat; but was kept secret so coudn't use it for propaganda purposes; hardliners in Kremlin/Soviet military saw K's climb-down as embarrasing - removal from power by 1964 by rivals; missile gap remained as ICBM stockpile never caught up with USA
What about Cuba and Castro?
Remains Communist state to this day, free from US control
Castro very upset by K's deal but needed support of USSR so could do little about it
Cuba remained an important military base for Communist supporters in South America
Cuba kept control of the US companies and assets he had nationalised during the revolution
Castro already knew