Cuba, 1959-62

Introduction

Economy

Much of Cuban industry controlled by US business interests

Especially sugar export trade

By late 1950's US businesses owned:

90% of Cuban mines

80% public utilities

50% railways

40% sugar production

25% bank deposits

Source of cheap labour

Military

US had large naval base on Cuba

Cultural

Popular holiday destination for wealthy Americans, who enjoyed its beaches and entertainment industry (notably gambling and brothels)

Politics

In the 1950s, Cuba was ruled by the corrupt and unpopular military dictator Batista, who was supported by the USA

Cuban Revolution

1956: Former lawyer and political activist Fidel Castro started a campaign of guerrilla warfare to overthrow Batista regime. Supported by second-in-command Che Guevara. Over next two years, the revolution spread throughout Cuba

January 1959: The fall of Havana; Batista fled abroad (along with a small number of upper- and middle-class Cuban exiles)


Castro becomes Prime Minister + leader of socialist govt.

Timeline

Policies

Nationalised industries - sugar production, oil refinement, taking over businesses owned by Americans or wealthy Cubans

Land reform

Collectivised farms

Increased education

Nationalised healthcare

One-party govt.

Restricted religious freedom

Removed political opponents; executed many

Closed down casinos and brothels

Advertised Cuba as discrimination-free holiday destination for African Americans

Joining farms together to improve productivity

Opened new schools and nurseries

Land ownership capped; land taken from wealthy landowners and redistributed to peasants

Communism

Initially post-rev. Cuba not Communist, but most of his top economic and military officials were committed Marxists

Quickly established diplomatic relations with USSR


1960 - Cuba receiving economic and military aid from Soviets

December 1961 - Castro declares in a televised address that he is a "Marxist-Leninist and shall be one until the end of my life"

1965 - officially became the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba

US worries

Castro had challenged US supremacy; worried about him turning Cuba Communist, which he officially did in 1961

Cuba developing close relations with USSR

Contrary to US economic interests (seizure of American property/businesses in Cuba)

Cuban exiles in US formed powerful pressure groups, demanding action

Castro called on other Latin American govts. to act with more autonomy against the US

Jan 1961 - Kennedy is elected President; election manifesto says his opponents had been soft on Cuba; perhaps trying to prove himself

US Actions

Kept control of Guantanamo Bay naval base

CIA auth. by Eisenhower to try overthow Castro

Assassination attempts

Poison

Explosives

Exploding cigar

Trying to discredit him by exposing him to LSD just before an important broadcast

July 1960 - US stopped buying Cuban sugar; made up 80% of Cuba's total export market. Later in the year, the US banned all trade with Cuba

January 1961 - the US broke off all diplomatic relations with Cuba

April 1961 - Bay of Pigs invasion

Bay of Pigs

Plan

CIA planning invasion using Cuban exiles trained and equipped by the US during Eisenhower's presidency. Eisenhower approved the idea March 1960

17 April 1961 - 1400 anti-Castro Cuban exiles, trained in Guatemala by CIA, landed at Bay of Pigs to try overthrow Castro.

Castro learned about the Guatemala guerrilla training camps, October 1960, through Cuban intelligence

All of the invading exiles were killed, captured or surrendered within a few days

CIA expected the Cubans and parts of the Cuban military to support the exiles

Met by 20,000 Cuban troops.

Bay of Pigs chosen as landing site to disguise US support of the invasion and to receive little resistance to the force, especially at night.


Bad idea - landing site was more than 80 miles away from refuge in the Escambray Mountains if anything went wrong

Air Strike, April 15

News reported on images of repainted US planes
Highlighted US involvement in the raids
JFK cancelled second air strike

What went wrong?

Cuban planes heavily attacked Brigade 2506 (Cuban-exile invasion force)

Ground force had to deal with:
bad weather
soggy equipment
insufficient ammunition

Castro ordered 20,000 troops to counter the exiles

JFK sent 6 American fighter planes and B-26s an hour too late - shot down by Cubans, invasion crushed later that day

Kennedy was briefed when he became President; keen to conceal US involvement; willing to supply training and equipment but not US troops

Aftermath

Castro returns prisoners in 1962, in exchange for $53 million worth of baby food and medicine

Operation Mongoose - plan to sabotage and destabilize the Cuban government and economy
Included possibility of assassinating Castro

Arms Race

Curtis LeMay's Sunday Punch Strategy - A massive first strike on the Soviet Union. Groups of US planes fly with nuclear weapons onboard towards the Soviet Union

The air force initially dominated the defence budget/arms race with 47% of the defence budget

Competition between different branches of US armed forces

Led to each wanting their own nuclear weapons

Creation of nuclear cannons, backpacks, bazookas, and other types of weapons

Nuclear stockpile grew over time

1947: 13, 1953: 1100, 1960s: 31000

Massive Retaliation

Defence policy adopted under Eisenhower

US would use nuclear strikes against USSR if they attacked Europe

Transition to defence policy dominated by investment in nuclear deterrence rather than high spending on conventional arms

Pros and Cons

Pros

Cheaper in the long run

Forced a diplomatic solution

Eisenhower keen to balance federal budget

Better than expensive long-term commitment of US land forces to regions threatened by Communism

Alternative of all-out war terrible

Cons

Limited options in confrontation

Dien Bien Phu, 1954, did not help French; Eisenhower didn't want to use atomic bombs

Led to stockpiling of nuclear weapons

USSR did the same - nuclear arms race began

MAD

If each side had nuclear weapons, if one attacked first, the other would also attack. Both sides destroyed.

Hence deterred each side from attacking

Cuban Missile Crisis

Success of Containment Policy

Policies

Economic - 1960 - Banned imports of Cuban sugar and other commodities

Diplomatic - Jan 1961, the US broke off diplomatic relations with Cuba

Military - April 1961, the US-backed Bay of Pigs Invasion happened

Consequences of Policies

Cuba sold sugar to the USSR instead; the USSR sold oil and weapons to Cuba in return

Cuba was pushed closer to the USSR; became more openly associated with Communism

Bay of Pigs made Kennedy look weak to the world and especially the USSR
US appeared hostile and untrustworthy

Timeline Up to Crisis

April 1961 - Bay of Pigs Invasion

Rest of 1961 - Soviets sending arms to Cuba

May 1962 - USSR publicly admits it's selling arms to Cuba

July 1962 - Cuba now has the best-equipped army in Latin America


1000s of Soviet missiles, jet bombers and fighters, patrol boats, radar, tanks and Soviet technicians

11 September 1962 - Kennedy warns USSR that he will use "any means necessary" to prevent Cuba from becoming an offensive/nuclear military base. The USSR claims they have no intention to put nuclear missiles on Cuba

14 October 1962 - American U2 spy plane flies over Cuba and photographs Soviet nuclear missile sites under construction

Why did the USSR put nuclear missiles on Cuba?

Creates a bargaining counter with the USA over missiles in Turkey
Missiles in Turkey were close to USSR and left USSR at a disadvantage
Missiles in Cuba could be used to remove missiles from Turkey in exchange from removal of Cuban missiles

Cheap way to close the "missile gap" - only need IRBMs (that would take 20 mins to reach their target) and MRBMs (that take only 10 mins) to threaten whole of USA, as opposed to ICBMs

Makes the US much less likely to launch a "first strike" nuclear attack against the USSR
Due to the concept of MAD
Thereby removing USSR's military disadvantage

Genuine desire to defend Cuba against US attack in light of the Bay of Pigs incident

Extending Communism - having a strong Communist state in USA's backyard was good propaganda and would help spread Communism in Latin America


Pushing against USA's containment policy


Extend power of the USSR - the USSR controlled the Eastern Bloc countries (verify this)

Khrushchev felt the need to assert himself in the Kremlin, where he was still in Stalin's shadow


Stalin himself died in 1953 from a stroke and was held in high regard


insert fact here


Making the USA seem week would improve his image

JFK was a new, inexperienced president - Khrushchev viewed him as weak and wanted to test him

To lure the USA into a nuclear war - no attempt was made to camouflage the missile sites


This is unlikely when considering the concept of MAD

Kennedy's Options During The Crisis

Doing nothing - America has a greater nuclear arsenal anyway
But it would be another sign of weakness - the USSR had lied about the Cuban missiles

Surgical air attack - it would destroy the missiles before they were ready to use
BUT destruction of all sites could not be guaranteed
Even one left undamaged could launch a counterattack against the USA
The attack would inevitably kill Soviet soldiers - the USSR might retaliate at once
To attack without advance warning was seen as immoral

Invade Cuba - it would get rid of missiles and Castro, and American forces were already trained and available to do it
Yet this would almost certainly gain a response from the USSR to protect Cuba or to do something within the Soviet sphere of influence e.g. taking over Berlin

Diplomatic pressure - it would avoid conflict, but if the USA was forced to back down, it would be a sign of weakness

Naval Blockade
It would show that the USA is serious but not be a direct act of war.
It would put the burden on Khrushchev to decide what to do next.
The USA had a strong navy and could still take the other options if this one did not work
BUT it would not solve the main problem - the missiles were already on Cuba
They could be used within one week
The Soviet Union might retaliate by blockading Berlin as it had done in 1948

Events of the Crisis

Tuesday 16th October - Kennedy is informed of missile build-up. Executive Committee of National Security Council formed

Saturday 20th October - Kennedy decides on a blockade (quarantine) of Cuba

Monday 22nd October - Kennedy declares blockade, openly addresses Khrushchev to remove the missiles

Tuesday 23rd October - Khrushchev's letter received by Kennedy - Khrushchev does not want to observe the blockade and denies the existence of Cuban missiles

24th October - First Soviet ships carrying missiles approach 800km exclusion zone.
10:32am - 20 Soviet ships stop and turn around

25th October - Aerial photos show continued construction of missiles sites on Cuba

26th October - New letter sent by K - offer to negotiate over missiles in Cuba if blockade is lifted and US does not invade Cuba. K ack's existence of Cuban missiles for the first time

27th October - Second letter from K - calls for withdrawal of US missiles in Turkey as further condition


U2 plane shot down over Cuba - pilot killed. Kennedy advised to retaliate, but stalls. Accepts the terms of first letter (not second). If USSR does not accept, US will attack

28th October - K agrees to dismantle Soviet missiles in Cuba

Sunday 14th October - American U2 planes discover missile sites on Cuba

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Summary and Aftermath

USA

Hostile actions

Missiles in Turkey and Italy - threatened USSR

Hostile policies towards Cuba that pushed Castro towards USSR

Bay of Pigs invasions, and Kennedy's desire to look strong at home afterwards

Kennedy rejects discreet diplomacy at the start of the crisis, goes public with naval blockade

Defusing tensions

Delays air attack on Cuba despite pressure from hardliners
Makes an offer based on Khrushchev's letter of Oct 26

USSR

Hostile actions

Sent missiles to Cuba; highly provocative; unlikely to have stayed hidden for long
Moreover, conventional Soviet forces would probably have been enough to deter US invasion of Cuba

K saw JFK as weak for not responding to Berlin Wall 1961 - now testing further

K was keen to appear strong to critics at home after Berlin crisis

K denies missiles presence 23rd October, triggering the US further

25th October - USSR refuses to back down; missile sites work continues

27th Oct - K's second later pushes for Turkish missiles to be withdrawn - more demands

Defusing tensions

Sends letter seeking resolution, 26th October

Cooperation

28th Oct - K accepts K's deal through both formal negotiations and secret meetings.


USSR remove Cuban missiles
US calls off blockade and does not invade Cuba
USA also agrees to secretly remove their missiles from Turkey in the coming months

Aftermath

Historians agree that the Crisis helped that USA-USSR relations

Sides realised brinkmanship brought world closer to nuclear war - did not want it to happen again

Hot Line - direct communications link between White House and the Kremlin, June 20, 1963

Three months later Turkey missiles removed

Nuclear Test Ban Treaty signed between two countries, August 1963, banned testing of nuclear weapons in atmosphere (but not making/keeping them)

For the rest of the Cold War, both sides avoided direct confrontation and instead fought proxy wars through allies where possible

Who was better off?

Kennedy or Khrushchev

For Kennedy…

Kennedy came out of the crisis with a greatly improved reputation in his own country and the West - he had stood up to Khrushchev and forced him to back down.

Cuba remained a Communist state in the USA’s ‘backyard’: containment had failed.

Kennedy had proved he was able to stand up to the hardline ‘hawks’ in his own government and make wise strategic decisions.

There was not a nuclear war.

Kennedy had to remove US missiles from Turkey, which annoyed his NATO allies (technically this was supposed to be a joint decision, not just the USA).

The removal of missiles from Turkey was kept secret so the US did not publicly lose face.

For Khrushchev….

Khrushchev claimed the crisis as a victory and was able to present himself as a responsible peacemaker who had been willing to compromise.

Cuba remained a valuable ally for the USSR and a useful base to support Communists in Latin America.

The USA removed its nuclear missiles from Turkey, reducing the threat to the USSR.

Khrushchev had to keep the removal of US missiles from Turkey secret, so he was unable to use it for propaganda purposes.

Khrushchev had been forced to back down and remove Soviet missiles from Cuba - this was regarded as a humiliating climb-down by hardliners in the Kremlin and by the Soviet military. This may have contributed to his removal from power by his rivals in 1964 and his replacement by Brezhnev.

The missile gap remained - the USSR went on to develop a stockpile of ICBMs at great expense but it never caught up with the USA.

Kennedy: better reputation in US and West; but Cuba still Communist so Containment failed; stood up to hardline hawks in govs and made wise strategic decisions; no nuclear war; Turkey missile removal annoyed NATO as it was not a joint decision; removal of Turkish missiles kept secret so US kept reputation


Khrushchev: claimed victory, responsible peacemaker, willing to compromise; Cuba still valuable ally; useful base to support Commies in Latin America; no Turkey missiles so reduced threat; but was kept secret so coudn't use it for propaganda purposes; hardliners in Kremlin/Soviet military saw K's climb-down as embarrasing - removal from power by 1964 by rivals; missile gap remained as ICBM stockpile never caught up with USA

What about Cuba and Castro?

Remains Communist state to this day, free from US control

Castro very upset by K's deal but needed support of USSR so could do little about it

Cuba remained an important military base for Communist supporters in South America

Cuba kept control of the US companies and assets he had nationalised during the revolution

Castro already knew