How the Coronavirus will give rise to a global food pandemic that may threaten up to 265 millions people - do GMOs offer a possible solution to this looming crisis?Su
Introduction
Subheader #1: The GMO debate
Point #1: Background on global food shortage
Point #2: Food shortage in wake of Coronavirus pandemic
Point #3: GMOs might offer a possible solution to the global food crisis
After decades of steady decline, world hunger has slowly been on the rise since 2015. An estimated 821 million people in the world suffered from hunger in 2018.
Starting in the early 2000s, rising production could not keep pace with the even stronger growth in demand. In addition, hunger has increased in many countries in which the economy has slowed down or contracted
The latest available estimates indicate that about 821 million people in the world were undernourished in 2018. One in nine people do not get enough food to be healthy and lead an active life. Hunger and malnutrition are biggest risks to health worldwide — greater than AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis combined.
The coronavirus pandemic has brought hunger to millions of people around the world. National lockdowns and social distancing measures are drying up work and incomes, and are likely to disrupt agricultural production and supply routes — leaving millions to worry how they will get enough to eat.
Already, 135 million people had been facing acute food shortages, but now with the pandemic, 130 million more could go hungry in 2020, said Arif Husain, chief economist at the World Food Program, a United Nations agency. Altogether, an estimated 265 million people could be pushed to the brink of starvation by year’s end.
This hunger crisis, experts say, is global and caused by a multitude of factors linked to the coronavirus pandemic and the ensuing interruption of the economic order: the sudden loss in income for countless millions who were already living hand-to-mouth; the collapse in oil prices; widespread shortages of hard currency from tourism drying up; overseas workers not having earnings to send home; and ongoing problems like climate change, violence, population dislocations and humanitarian disasters.
Food security is, and will continue to be, one of our greatest ongoing development challenges. We not only need to provide food and nutrition for a growing global population, but we must do so in the face of mounting environmental challenges. The global climate is changing, and land suitable for agriculture and food production is changing with it. Salinification and desertification, flooding and drought, and natural disasters threaten agriculture across the globe. With changing temperatures, meanwhile, come new risks from pests and diseases.
Agricultural and food security experts are investigating a range of ways to address these challenges. Solutions range from everything from new breeding programs, to better monitoring and evaluation, to farming strategies that reduce waste and increase yield.
But in discussing a food-secure future, the role of genetically modified organisms remains a raging debate.
Point #1: There are many potential advantages to using GMOs
While there is overwhelming scientific evidence that proves that GMOs are safe to eat, and that they bring environmental benefits by making agriculture more sustainable. Why is there such a discrepancy between what the science tells us about GMOs, and what people think?
Based on a meta-analysis of publications from several countries on the farm-level costs and benefits of GM cotton and maize, Finger et al (2011) conclude that adoption of the GM crops led on average to higher economic performance. Another meta-study published in 2014 estimates a 22% increase in global yield from GM crops while reducing pesticide (active ingredient) usage by 37% and environmental impact (insecticide and herbicide use) by 18%. For countries with foreign currency bottlenecks like Ethiopia, reduced usage of inputs such as pesticide, insecticide, and herbicide translate to substantial foreign currency savings.
Some benefits of genetic engineering in agriculture are increased crop yields, reduced costs for food or drug production, reduced need for pesticides, enhanced nutrient composition and food quality, resistance to pests and disease, greater food security, and medical benefits to the world's growing population.
Point #2: Many argue that there are many potential disadvantages to using GMOs
In contrast to how the majority of people think, GMOs have actually caused the use of herbicides and pesticides to increase significantly, leaving more chemical residue on crops for consumers to ingest (according to OneGreenPlanet)
Despite the fact that the genes being transferred occur naturally in other species, there are unknown consequences to altering the natural state of an organism through foreign gene expression. After all, such alterations can change the organism's metabolism, growth rate, and/or response to external environmental factors. These consequences influence not only the GMO itself, but also the natural environment in which that organism is allowed to proliferate.
Even if a farmer does not use GMO crops, the risk of cross-contamination with GMO seeds is common... For farmers, the consequences have been severe. Contamination can be a catalyst for dramatic economic losses for farmers who face rejection from export markets that ban GMOs.
Point #3: One of the main drivers on the GMO debate is clashes between the private, public, and civic sectors. Engaging with developing countries requires support from seed businesses, industry organizations, civil society, governments, academics and researchers.
In developing nations across the globe, governments are grappling with questions of what role GMOs should play in helping address a range of agriculture, nutrition, and climate challenges.
Smack at the center of the debate over genetically modified organisms and their role in developing countries are large corporations. Bayer, BASF, Dow AgroScience, DuPont Pioneer, Monsanto, and Syngenta all sell GMO seed and associated products, including herbicides, as well as a range of non-GMO seed and products supporting agricultural production.
Governments of developing countries are responding to those concerns in a variety of ways with some banning GMOs outright, some embracing them, and others attempting to find balance between the concerns and needs of all sides.
Climate change, domestic food security, and local economies all play a key role in governments’ weighing of GMO.
In countries where the key economic partners are the U.S. and China — which have fewer regulatory restrictions on the import of GMOs — introducing such crops could potentially increase economic opportunities
One hundred and seventy-one nations signed the Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety, requiring countries to protect biological diversity from the potential risks posed by living modified organisms resulting from modern biotechnology since 2003. Signatory governments including Cambodia, Kenya, and Nigeria have had to implement policies and legislation creating a safe framework for the possible research and introduction of GMOs into their country. The year 2003 also saw 40 African countries, convened by the African Union, sign the Maputo Declaration. This committed them to investing at least 10 percent of their national budgets into agriculture development — including science and research.
Corporations such as Bayer and Monsanto say they are engaging in open conversations on the topic of GMOs. But the distrust of corporations and belief they put profitability above public health and the environment can sway public perception.
As long as food insecurity exists and private sector investment is required to support investment in agricultural research and development, corporations such as Bayer, Monsanto, and Syngenta will continue to play an important role in the conversation surrounding GMO and food security.
For decades, these corporations and their role in the development and use of GMOs have faced criticis, but they have continued to grow and expand — as has their presence in developing countries. They lobby and advise governments on GMO regulation, and they work with farmers on GMO cropping.
“Our aim is to help farmers, including the many smallholders in emerging nations, be productive and profitable,” Paul Minehart, head of North American corporate communications for Syngenta, told Devex.
Corporations such as Bayer and Monsanto say they are engaging in open conversations on the topic of GMOs. But the distrust of corporations and belief they put profitability above public health and the environment can sway public perception.
Interestingly, the message used to try and win public agreement is similar for both pro- and anti-GMO campaigners. Both argue that the opposition is influencing politics through lobbyists and that the weight of scientific evidence is on their side.
The African Agricultural Technology Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center and United States Agency for International Development are among the collaborating partners for Monsanto. There organizations provide funding for innovative agricultural research, including hundreds of millions of dollars for GMO projects.
Within the development sector, Greenpeace and Fairtrade International are the leading voices opposing GMOs. The arguments of both Greenpeace and Fairtrade against GMOs are similar — the risks that GMOs pose are still unknown, and they may have unforeseeable environmental, social, and health impacts.
Aside from the corporations profiting from GMOs, scientists are one of the most vocal groups in favor of the use of GMOs. They argue that there has never been any evidence of health issues associated with GMOs and the impact on the environment is less harmful than traditional agriculture. They claim that the science and the rigorous testing and approval processes GMOs are required to go through before reaching the market should build public confidence — they are put through a tougher process than any other food product
There are people who would still resist consumable GMOs, even with thorough testing for safety, because of personal or religious beliefs. The ethical issues surrounding GMOs include debate over our right to "play God," as well as the introduction of foreign material into foods that are abstained from for religious reasons.
Media plays a significant role in our perception of GMOs. Strong lobbying from organizations against GMOs has created a negative public perspective that even science is having a hard time to break through.
Subheader #2: A look at the US-EU debate over GMOS
The U.S. approach: Focus on the product
The overarching policy for the federal government regulation of GM foods was set in 1986 during the Reagan administration, in a document by the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy called the Coordinated Framework for Regulation of Biotechnology. The document concluded that foods made with genetic engineering techniques are not fundamentally different from conventional foods in terms of overall composition, so there was no need for legislation specifically dealing with GM foods.
The regulation of GM foods in the U.S. is enacted by multiple agencies. Although companies submit different types of data to each agency, common principles unite the various regulatory processes. Regulations are based on the GM foods and how they are used, rather than the genetic engineering technologies that produced them. Additionally, it is relatively easy for companies to receive exemptions from the regulatory processes—particularly, FDA premarket approval and USDA regulations.
In general, Americans' perception of food is more utilitarian and less aesthetic than Europeans'. In contrast to a humanistic or aesthetic bias, Americans' think of food in nutritional terms linked to science and sustenance, with quantity often preferred to quality. In addition, Americans have thought of themselves as both a democratic and scientific culture, with a
special mission for human development and improvement.
The EU approach: Focus on the process
Compared to the U.S., the EU imposes strict regulations on GM foods. The European Commission, the executive cabinet of the EU, established its general policy for GM food regulation in 2002. All GM foods are regulated because they are made with processes different from those used to produce conventional foods. In the EU, all GM food products must go through a centralized process for premarket approval and follow labeling guidelines
In addition to public concern regarding the food safety crises of the 1990s, the EU’s tradition of risk-averse regulation in other areas meant that the precautionary principle became the central tenet for GM food regulation: since potential risks of GM foods are not completely known, regulatory decisions err on the side of caution and require a high burden of proof for product safety. New EU legislation passed in 2015 allows individual countries greater freedom in approving GM foods; specifically, the countries’ approval decisions can be based on factors beyond health risks
The European traditions of an aesthetic appreciation for food, a skepticism toward science wrought of destruction by military and Fascist technology, and a protection of domestic markets, stand in marked contrast to scientific and utilitarian attitudes toward food, a scientific optimism unscarred by war, and general support for free markets and trade in the US.
The GMO debate in the Southern African food crisis
The inclusion of genetically modified maize in food aid shipments to Southern Africa during the 2002 food crisis rekindled debates over agricultural biotechnology. As the region edged ever closer to famine – putting the lives to some 14 million Africans at risk – corporate pundits, government officials and biotechs critics debated the health and environmental dangers posed by the new technology.
The relief effort became enmeshed in the quagmire surrounding agricultural biotechnology and genetically modified food, as the pro- and anti-GM lobbies each moved to outflank the other to capture the moral high ground. Biotechnology?s advocates, primarily based in the United States but also including major GM exporters like Canada, Australia and Argentina, accused their opponents of allowing millions of Africans to starve because of irrational fears over hypothetical and unproven risks. Those opposed to GMOs countered that the United States was exploiting the Southern African famine as a public relations tool to improve the beleaguered image of agricultural biotechnology. Having been unable to capture popular support for their products, particularly in Europe, the biotechnology industry was now using the Southern African crisis to garner sympathy for genetically modified organisms.
Heavily dependent on trade with the United States under the African Growth and Opportunities Act (AGOA), Swaziland raised no objections to the GM aid. Lesotho, also dependant on AGOA, requested that food aid be milled before distribution but quickly backed down on its request and accepted unmilled food aid.
Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe, however, were far more cautious. All four challenged the inclusion of genetically modified maize which had not received regulatory approval in the region in US food aid shipments. The concerns articulated by recipients of GM food aid in Southern Africa centered on three key areas: (1) the potential health impact of GM food on recipients; (2) the impact of GM food on domestic agricultural biodiversity; and (3) the impact of GM food on their ability to export agricultural commodities in the future.
Africa has followed Europe’s lead in its regulatory approach to this technology. African countries export a lot of agricultural products to Europe, and they conclude that if European consumers don’t want to purchase these products, it’s safer not to plant them at all. Also, European governments play a prominent role in the United Nations, and they have shaped U.N. treaties like the 2003 Cartagena Protocol, to give expression to a highly precautionary European approach to GMOs. The United States, which often turns its back on these U.N. special agencies, has left the field wide open for European influence. governments in Africa deeply appreciate the one-country-one-vote ethic that prevails in the United Nations General Assembly, and they depend heavily on U.N. agencies for opportunities to express themselves in international fora.
In truth, debates about whether GM crops or any single technology are “good for the poor” or can “feed the world” are becoming tired. They tend to discuss GM technologies as if they can be isolated from the wider socioeconomic and political context.
The main reasons other countries haven’t followed suit are political and economic. The negative attitude to GM crops found in Europe, where they import GM crops such as soybeans for animal feed but do not allow their own farmers to plant it, has had a strong influence on African politicians. The reluctance of so many African countries to GMOs is also attributed to fears about the impact it would have on trade with other countries, particularly Europe where a number of countries have banned GM imports.
Subheader #3: The GMO debate is playing out on a global stage
Point #1: The GMO debate is playing out around the globe
Point #2: In the past few decades, the GMO debate has continued to play a big role in Africa
Point #3: The GMO debate is also prominent in regions facing environmental challenges.
This includes the Asia Pacific, where arable land is rapidly changing because of increasing natural disasters and rising sea levels. Countries like Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines span the range of attitudes toward genetically engineered crops.
In developing nations across the globe, governments are grappling with questions of what role, if any, genetically modified organisms should play in helping address a range of agriculture, nutrition, and climate challenges.
Concerns have been raised over the environmental and health impacts of GMOs, as well as their impact on traditional farming methods and issues around seed patents, and farmers having to be dependent on corporations.
Governments of developing countries are responding to those concerns in a variety of ways with some banning GMOs outright, some embracing them, and others attempting to find balance between the concerns and needs of all sides.
African nations in particular have become central to the debate as many parts of the continent are susceptible to drought or civil conflict that can lead to famine or near-famine conditions. But until recently only four African nations — Burkina Faso, Egypt, Sudan, and South Africa — permitted GMOs to be used in commercial agricultural production. South Africa is the only one to allow GMO food, while the remaining three permit GMO cotton.
Emerging GMO countries: Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, and Uganda
Until recently, many African countries have resisted research and cultivation of GMOs. But the pace and rate of take up is increasing.
In Nigeria, development donors and large corporations have joined forces to invest in GMO advancements for the country. The GMO variety of cowpea was developed as a collaboration between the Network for Genetic Improvement of Cowpea for Africa, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, the African Agricultural Technology Fund, and the Rockefeller Foundation. The GMO sorghum project is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, United States Agency for International Development, and DuPont Pioneer. Monsanto is the key investor in GMO varieties of cotton and maize.
Kenya, too, is seeing corporate and public interests in GMO research intersect with a rapid increase, and commercialization of production is expected — and this despite banning all GMO foods and imports for health concerns in 2012.
In September last year, the Uganda’s President H.E. Yoweri Museveni spoke at an agricultural science conference about his openness to technology supporting food security — including GMOs Less than a month later, the Ugandan parliament passed the National Biotechnology and Biosafety Bill, 2017, allowing for commercialization of GMOs — but in January, the bill was sent back by the president with concerns over the impacts to the environment and indigenous communities.
For African nations in particular, the European Union has an outsized impact on local economies. For Central African nations, the EU was the number one trade destination in 2016, accounting for more than a quarter of all exports. Since the EU has strict regulations for approvals and imports of GMOs, including labelling standards, the economic and political impacts of investing in GMO commercialization with an eye toward export could prove costly.
But in countries where the key economic partners are the U.S. and China — which have fewer regulatory restrictions on the import of GMOs — introducing such crops could potentially increase economic opportunities.
And regions such as Latin America, which accounts for approximately 45 percent of biotech crops globally in 2016 according to the International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-Biotech Applications, are already preparing for the effects climate change will have on their ability to grow food in the future.
The Philippines is often used as an example of how adoption of GMOs can improve the income of farmers within a developing country. “The benefits of biotech corn to Filipino farmers’ livelihood, income, and health, and to the environment have been well studied and documented,” ISAAA reported in 2015. “Overall, the four studies that examined net farm income, as well as other indicators, consistently confirmed the positive impact of biotech corn on small and resource-poor farmers and corn producers generally in the Philippines.”
The adoption and progress of GMOs has been driven by economic value rather than responding to a localized agricultural problem, such as pest or disease, but it has not been without controversy. In December 2015, a Supreme Court decision stopped field trials of genetically modified eggplant and voided existing biotechnology regulations. The decision was based on constitutional rights to health and a balanced ecology and a lack of scientific consensus on the health and environmental impacts of genetically modified eggplant. While the decision was overturned just six months later, it forced the government to implement new GMO regulations that provided more consideration to socioeconomic issues and environmental impacts.
In Brazil, in April 2003, the president signed an executive order requiring packed food and feed containing more than 1 percent of GMOs to be labelled, informing consumers about its biotech content. This was followed with Brazil’s ratification of the Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety and by 2005 they had introduced legislation establishing the regulatory framework to produce and market GMO crops within the country. In the intervening years, the government has shown a keenness to partner with large corporations. Bayer, BASF, Dow AgroSciences, DuPont, Monsanto, and Syngenta all have seeds approved for growth in the country.
According to a recent study on the economic impact of GM crops, GMOs have delivered financial benefit to farmers in Brazil.
But this has not stopped alternative methods of sustainable agriculture from developing in the country.
The government of Cambodia, in particular, has been pushing back on GMOs for more than a decade. “If we export organic products to the EU, we will receive higher prices than by exporting chemical-produced foods to other countries,” Siphana said. Cambodia has introduced a regulatory framework relating to the control and management of GMOs as part of their responsibility as signatories of the Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety