CICOLAB Roundtable on Crap Detection:
Sensemaking and the Pandemic. See notes at https://docs.google.com/document/d/1aMQJFvhznCB2ulVt718gLZXB_-O8AazAy4w1siPfRU8/edit?usp=sharing. Watch video at
What are the causes of misinformation?
- Advertising business model of the media
- Status or good reputation aren't necessarily going to the good actors in the system
- It's not enough to have the facts. The facts need to be communicated with attitude.
What are important aspects to consider about misinformation?
Howard: there a new level of sophistication in terms of the ability of mis- and dis-informers to up their game much faster than people can be educated about it.
Roland: You can be you can be a master in manipulation without ever lying that just by selecting your facts and providing a particular lens or context.
Sources of good information
Roland: Newspapers/journals that have strong editorial societies that keep the editorials independent.
Josh: Asian medicine, which realizes that it's all about the internal state of the body and not just foreign invaders.
- Howard: Media is driven by attention. We have an issue in the in the USA with journalism called called capitalism and we're seeing that the the apparatus for distributing the truth can be gamed by somebody who's really good at capturing attention. So we're seeing really good journalists paying a lot of attention to Trump's antics because it sells newspapers and it gets you television ratings. And that seems to be driving the bus.
What is the context?
Deeper Meaning
Solutions
Howard: even with with AI, that that Twitter and Facebook are, are failing to, to be able to get a grasp on on handling misinformation through strictly algorithmic methods. So I still think some kind of combination of algorithmic and and personal social curation has got to be the answer for those few of us who are care enough about it and are educated enough about it to put it into action.
Data
Money
Aaron: Where is the money going?
Melanie: Where is the money not going?
Memes
Robert: Infotentions: if you think about food, you are what you eat. And in this sort of normal food sense, but in food is the like, informational diet.
What can we do personally?
Howard: pay close attention to what we pay attention to
Joe Corneli: Start by checking out our own bullshit.
Joe Corneil: it's not that data is wrong, it's just that data in itself is is limited. And it needs to be augmented with models. So I think that that's actually very good contribution to this theme of sense making is to introduce this theme of causality beyond just data or metrics.
David: data as anInformation Technology concept is completely, utterly meaningless unless it's witnessed; unless it is has human input into assessing the reliability & the accuracy the real world. Data is the wrong concept. What we need is verified, witnessed information with multidimensional reputation associated with that.
Sensemaking elements
Josh: It's very easy to cook the metrics
Michael Haupt: Data needs to be in context. Indigenous people absolutely reject any kind of measurement, any kind of metric, unless there's some sense of intuition, some sense of spiritual inner guidance. But to me, there needs to be a balance between those two, what the balance is, I don't know. There is definitely a role for technology to play as well as a deepened inner knowing and guidance. We need more warm data
Signals
Money: Aaron: forget what politicians are saying
and look closely at how people are investing their money.
Decided vs Undecided
Decided: .7% death rate if infected
Undecided
Numbers
Michael: Placing numbers in context: To me the numbers need to be compared to the needs to be a relative comparison, not just a random number thrown up.What numbers do we need to focus on?Deaths from Covid or unemployment rates?
Grace: that the other thing that I worry about when we talk about people dying is how many people are dying of being shut in suicide, again, unemployment, right starvation, you know, all kinds of violence, all these things, we're not being shown the numbers of people dying from this specific disease
Numbers vs intuition
Michael: What does this mean to the continued existence of us as a species that, to me is much more important than how many people have died, in which country because we're all going to die.
Roland: Without data, how can we reason about what is happening?
Biology: Is this more like the flu or more like AIDs?
International
Historical
Blame the "other": Howard: during the black plague what you do To protect your town was to burn a few hundred juice in the in the town square. Eventually, it was discovered that microorganisms cause diseases and you could boil your water. Here we are with another play and the anti Asian and anti semitic tropes are are out there.
In Taiwan, they kept down the number of deaths.
They had previous experience with the CoronaVirus and knew what to to right away, like wearing masks.
Stories that help us empathize
David: Feeling the peak of the pandemic in peak regions around the world, we get those images, and we get bombarded with numbers. We get more of the dramatic hospital stories and less stories from people in nursing homes or from refugees.
Is this a virus coming in from the outside or something wrong with the body on the inside?
Scientific
David: Why we knew so little about this virus: You don't study things that don't have large morbidity in western hops hospitals or have large grants. So the number of people globally that were researching Coronavirus before the recent outbreaks, you could count, you know, it's under 100.