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Economics of the Financial System (Aug 2021 - Week 10 - 13) - Coggle…
Economics of the Financial System (Aug 2021 - Week 10 - 13)
Depository Institutions (Chap 12)
Bank Risks (L-C-I-T-O)
(c Interest rate Risk
Risk-sensitive Asset
Risk-sensitive Liablity
Gap analysis
impact of r changes on bank profit
relationship bank profitability; growth
(d) Trading (Market) Risk
(b) Credit (Default) Risk
DIversification vs Focus Strategy
Credit Risk Analysis
(e) Other Risk
(ii) Sovereign Risk
(iii) Operational Risk
(i) Foreign exchange Risk
(a) Liquidity Risk
(sudden withdrawal)
Asset-side
sell securities portfolio
refuse to renew loan dued
sell some of its loans
Liability -side
Borrow from Fed or other banks
Attract additional deposits
Excess Reserves
Manager vs Owner vs Regulator
Balance sheet of Commercial Banks
Assets (uses of funds)
Components
Cash
Reserves at bank's vaults
Reserves at bank's deposits a Fed Reserve System
Securities
Banks' bond holdings
Bank's stock holdings
Loans
Business Loans
Real estate Loans (home and commercial mortgages)
Consumer Loans (cars, credit cards)
Interbank Loans
A = L+E
Liabilities (sources of funds)
Trading Liabilities
(ii) Borrowings
from the Central Bank
from intermediaries (Fed Funds Market)
Foreign banks
Government-sponsord enterprises
using instrument using Repo
Debt
(i) Deposits from Savers
Transaction (Checkable) Deposits
Non-transaction Deposits
Savings Deposits
Time Deposits
Bank Capital, or Equity
Debt / Equity (or Liability/Net Worth) Leverage = Using Debt to finance purchase of Asset
Cost of borrowing
Income or Capital gGain from new Asset
Measures of Profitablity
RoA: How efficiently using Asset to generate earnings
RoE: Bank's ability to turn equity investment into profits
NII (or NIM)
Interest Income (interest EARNED on customers' borrowings)
Interest Expense (interest PAID on customers' deposits)
MONETARY POLICY
Easing MP environments (Recession)
(b) 2001
(a)1990
(c) 2008
US: NIM tend to rise
Deposit rates repriced down more quickly
Load rates repriced down more slowly
Tightening MP environments (Growth)
(a) 1994
(b) 1999-2000
(c) 2004-2005
(d) 2016 - 2019
US: NIM tend to fall
Bank interest expense rise
Bank interest income falls
US: NIM increased
Bank interest income rises
Bank interest expense rise more slowly (relative abundance of deposits)
Negative IR environment
Case #2): Sweden and Denmark
(i) ECB paper (Aug 2017)
1 more item...
(ii) McKInsey Report (Feb 2020)
2 more items...
Case #1: Japan
First, NIM rise
2 more items...
Then, NIM falls
1 more item...
Questions
(iv) How do NIRs impair the banking system, and harm monetary policy transmission?
(iii) How are NIR priced into securities?
(ii) How do NIRs flow to markets?
(i) What do NIR mean for depositors and consumption?
ROE = ROA * leverage
small banks (ROE is small)
large banks (ROE is large)
Economies of scale in banking
Off-balance sheet activities
Lines of Credit
Letters of Credit
Why they are used?
Present Value, Future Value and Interest Rates (Chap 6 - Part I)