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global economic crash
Important supply chains forced to move back to domestic locations (near shoring)
International aircargo volumes decrease
Integrator volumes increase
Downward pressure on airfares
Return to regulated aviation industry in US
Fares and schedules are fixed
Airline marketing support reduced
ULCC model will be different, in term of distribution and cost structure etc.
NDC will be accelerate
MRO return to US
Commercial development opporutnity at DFW
more staycations
International carriers without gov support struggle/collapse
Target financially strong carriers
Fifth freedom rights opportunities emerge
International carriers reduce network scope to regional
True global carriers may emerging from this scenario
JBAs increase and global alliance landscape changes
Global ASKs reduced 60%
Form a US national carrier
Complete regulate aviation industry
Less airline partnerships and alliances
Less connectivity at DFW
No longer an AA hub
OA investment in DFW increases
Terminal C closes
Re-purpose of space
Shopping mall
Lounge space
Airline office space
Ramp used for cargo ops
Less connectivity at DFW
AA out of business
DFW becomes a hub for other OA's
Increase opportunity for international OAs
Increase opportunity for domestic OA's
OA buy off AA asset and routes including DFW
Passenger demand plummets
Consumer confidence tanks
Increase in other modes of transportation (automobiles)
More family roadtrips
Demand for international travel reduced significantly
Reduction in destinations
Long haul destinations suffer the most
Border closures in place
Less foreign carriers