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Chapters 10 Population Estimates, Projections, and Forecasts & 11…
Chapters 10 Population Estimates, Projections, and Forecasts & 11 Population Policy Controlling Demographic Processes
Projections: The depiction of the hypothetical size and structure of a population at one or more future dates based on explicit assumptions concerning the continuation of observed trends.
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Forecast: A statement about what the characteristics of a population are likely to be at a future date.
Prediction: A statement derived from observation and deduction that is equivalent to scientific explanation; it indicates what would be the case if certain premises hold true.
Central Date: The date, often a Census year such as 1990 or 2000, on which population estimates are based; in this sense, the point of the procedure is to update central date information.
Geometric Growth: The basis for estimates and projections that assume a periodic increase in the rate of growth between two dates.
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Cohort Survival Method: A technique of estimation and projection based on the life table in which observed birth and death rates are assumed to hold into the future.
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Children, Families, and Communities
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Optimum Population Size: The theoretically most appropriate number of persons that can be supported by a given base of resources.
Sustainable Population Size: The number of people that can be supported by a given resource base, over successive generations, in a manner that is acceptable in terms of community standards.
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Postpartum Abstinence: A variable period of time following delivery of a child during which a woman refrains from sexual intercourse.
Implementation: The third and most difficult stage of the policy formulation process, during which planes are put into effect.
United States Agency for International Development (USAID): The branch of the Federal Government responsible, through its Office of Population, for family planning programs abroad.
Immigration Policy:
- Those who come through family connections.
- Those who come with employment assured.
- Refuges or asylum seekers.
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Agenda Setting: The first and most important step in policy formulation, during which basic goals are established.
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Nongovernmental Organizations (NGOs): Such organizations now play a major role in population policy formulation.
United Nation's Fund for Population Activities (UNFPA): The UN agency responsible for family planning programs.
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International Planned Parenthood Federation (IPPF): A well established NGO that promotes family planning module.
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Process Evaluation: A type of evaluation research that focuses on the manner in which a program is implemented.
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Impact Evaluation: A type of evaluation research that focuses on the extent to which the goals of a program have been achieved.
Quasi-Experimental Designs: A type of research methodology that is applied when one or more components of the experimental method cannot be employed.