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Chapter 8: Population Dynamic in Historical and Comparative Perspective…
Chapter 8: Population Dynamic in Historical and Comparative Perspective
Demographic Transitions
the occurrence of prolonged and relatively permanent changes in population growth rates
Measures and Models of Growth
Components method
Birth and the other vital events are the components of the parts that constitute change
Difference method
set aside the equation temporarily and approach the measurement of population growth at a simpler and cruder level
Measuring Growth by Difference
Several methods are available for estimating growth in an interval from data that cover only two periods
Linear growth model
Exponential growth model
Doubling time
An indicator of growth that is expressed in years rather than in rates or percentages
The four state process
Stage 1: Pre modern
Step:2 Urbanizing/ Industializing
Stage 3: Mature Industrial
Stage 4: Post Industrial
Pronataism
The view that having many children is the most virtuous practice,
it became apparent that this was an outmoded value
one better suited to a time when infant mortality level levels were high
large family were a survival tactic
The Third Stage in the Less Industrialized Regions
Europe's transition from high to low rates of growth was accompanied by the transformation of a predominantly agrarian community into an industrial society
From Gemeinschaft
From Gessellschaft
Birth control
The presence of easily accessible family planning programs is an essential component in meeting the new demand for methods
Incipient decline
That is population size was still increasing but at current rates it would not continue to do so for long