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Global warming (Extreme events (Cyclones (In Tuvalu cyclones have led to…
Global warming
Extreme events
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Droughts
Significant drying in the future is expected to affect large regions in sub tropics and mid-latitudes, even in areas where rainfall changes are negligible. When rainfall does occur, it is more likely to be in shorter, more intense bursts. This might mean summers are increasingly likely to see periods of dry weather punctuated with heavy storms.
Uganda lost on average USD 237 million annually to droughts during the last decade. Sadoff et al. (2015) found that droughts were likely to reduce gross domestic product in Malawi by 20% and in Brazil by 7%.
In simple economies are mainly rain-fed agriculture and livestock semi-subsistence economies, with limited infrastructure, low levels of per capita income and high levels of self-provisioning in the rural population. The overall impact of drought may be particularly great because of the relative importance of the agricultural sector.
Rainfall decrease in Sahel (1950: 3 cm/month, 2010: 1 cm/month) has led to 25% drop in agriculture production and a rise between 20% and 60% in food prices across the region over the past five years
Forced migration
Syria
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60% of the land in Syria experienced extreme drought (2006-2010), thus one of the most extreme crop failures in history.
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Lack of water, income, food
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Flooding
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Flooding can be less beneficial in drylands if the water can infiltrate and recharge groundwater, so that water becomes more readily available in the dry seasons and drought years
Coastal flooding
People living in coastal cities will have their homes destroyed as there is flooding where they live.
Due to increase in salinisation of soils, crops are not able to be grown.
Ice and sea levels
The melting of ice
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Loss of habitat for Arctic animals: polar bears (endemic) and seals. Some species become prone to extinction.
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Rising sea levels
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The main impact of sea level rises from ice melting come from land based as (95%), because floating ice was already displacing water
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