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Post Pandemic Pattern (S3: New Equilibrium (Increasing Online…
Post Pandemic Pattern
S3: New Equilibrium
Change how we view the older cohort
Special Delivery boxes outside the home that are secured are the norm
Sanitized and special delivery procedures
Increasing Online Collaboration
School courses are all able to function online
Teaching online may become more shallow. Feedback takes time, classes get larger
Last Mile delivery becomes the norm
Work from home
Education from Home
Movies from home
Increased trust level on deliveries
Delivery packaging that cannot be returned/repurposed
Reluctance to order things i might not be able to return
Ultra Violet lights used to process returns
Decreased trust on deliveries? access to the full health condition of the delivery chain (who was everyone involved in the manufacturing and delivery, including the doorstep drop)?
Touchless pickup orders & service
Longer wait on delivery of products & services
More patience in delivery terms
Maintaining 90 day supply of all meds
Insurance policy change to allow longer prescriptions fillings
"No Panic" plans for disruptions
Increased leadership at top levels
Smaller orgs & people make "safe mode" changes first
Cuts on travel and emergency funding gets spread out
"Safe Mode" -> different sections of industry and society quickly recognize early warning signs, and quickly switch between 'normal operations' and 'emergency mode'
Restrictions become part of a normal "safe" routine, ala fire alarm drills
Increased use of touchless pay methods
Public contamination cleaning stations
Always a remote option
UV Lighting
prepping goes mainstream
New retail Prepper opportunities
Grocery stores have special hours for different groups of people
Medical/hospital logistics changes
Social disctancing as a new norm
Physical barriers in place for safe socializing
Less commuting to work
Cleaner air and lower fuel requirements
Gas prices lower along with demand
Increased use of airborne, waterborne, and ground drones for delivery
Distributed private sector entities may have greater visibility & more proactive impact than governments. E.g. SXSW and even the NBA taking action before the WHO declared pandemic
Increased cybersecurity
Baby Boom 1st quarter 2021
Normalizing of hand washing technique and length
Baby Blip & "Coronials" generation
Disaster naming a generation shadows its development & deep structures of how they grow up
What does it mean to have a "Quarantine baby"
More "Family Time"
Completely new definitions of "Personal Space" and in-person "Hello"
At-door health/virus monitoring
Decreased privacy
Increased location tracking to backtrack exposures
HIPA law changes
More transparent medical records
New Gig Economy businesses emerge
Children were motivated to play together and stay off technology. Now virtual playdates are the norm and tech is a savior.
Rethink Nationalisim / revisit meaning of borders at all scales.
Real world sample - Mayor in Equador prevents flight from Spain from landing.
Sensational Coverage
:
https://clashdaily.com/2020/03/scary-wuflu-standoff-at-airport-sparks-international-incident-video/
Reuters:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-ecuador-plane/eu-asks-ecuador-to-guarantee-airport-access-after-runway-blocked-with-trucks-idUSKBN2163P7
The 1930's depression led to
social safety nets
, and
mindsets
like my Dad has:
"Use it up, Wear it out, Make it do or Do Without"
=> where you never throw things away 'cause you never know when you might need them.
COVID-19
will likely lead to similar
sea-level shifts in social programs and cohort mindsets
...
S4: Transformation
Delivery services used heavily
All interactions online
Health Monitoring required to enter businesses
Gyms shift from physical places to source of remote
motivation
Cruise ships become super safe, sanitary places that keep folks protected from viruses
Business locations shift focus from place to work alone, to physical meeting centers
Robots delivering packages
Bidets gain popularity overtake toilet paper
New superbugs/viruses arise from mass use of disinfectants
Increased focus & resources on genomic advances
Increased acceptance of government tracking - who is where, which people have come in contact with others etc. From digital online cookie tracking to people location tracking for the masses.
=> including also visibility to personal health details "oh you just had the flu, or your spouse has the flu, you need to quarantine"
Enablement: tech to assist in different ways
New corporate positions for "building remote company culture"
Social services and entertainment become more individualized, VR vacations, E-sports, etc
Shift from in person funerals to drive through grief services
or virtual services, where folks can interact with a VR environment with their loved one, a "living wake" to help say goodbye.
"Ghost(s)" of loved one(s) created in vr so that they could interact with virtusal casket.
already here:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-virtualreality-reunion/south-korean-mother-given-tearful-vr-reunion-with-deceased-daughter-idUSKBN2081D6
Increase in home schooling
Increase in FTF visits between children as parents need a break
Underground child care marketplace develops to lower costs for all
More joint outdoor exercise with parent + child
Business opportunity for engaging virtual schooling small children.
Day Care centers
open first with limited student capacities and health requirements. Rationale will be the reduced risk of children to CV19, but in reality it is to provide
parental relief or time
Energy solves as individuals seek to reduce experienced increases in energy
bills
due to more hours at home
Alternative methods of trade emerge as cash is no longer king
Stock and insolvency
Increased planning for financial
well-being
ID Values (of Visions) for Rebuilding
”How do we jump timelines?”
SolarPunk?
Capitalism 4.0?
Perfect Blend?
Oh! Eden!?
Conscious Evolution?
Insanity Assasins?
New Game = New Rules?
S2: Collapse
Grocery stores are closed/not stocked
Unreliable public & commercial services
Social safety net
Small business assumptions
Guaranteed income (e.g. University Room & Board refunds)
Hospital processes / some safety processes
Infected migrate to a new area
Collapse of local hevaily contaminated areas leading to dangerous pandemonium.
Uprising and complete destruction of local governments
Police unable to keep up
Military action taken
Disruption of existing service-based economics, and shift to less personnel-dependent practices
proliferation of sterilizers and chemicals, overuse of the wrong remedies and chemistry eliminates natural immunities and opens door to other novel diseases. see MRSA or War of the Worlds
Martial law & increased violence
Grocery-jacking
Door to door"Grocery shopping" with gun point threats
New delivery safety services & locations?
security and legal concerns? Who provides security, if anyone?
is grocery-jacking considered a violent crime or a necessity crime?
De-criminalizing Les Miserables-like "Bread Crimes"
or over-criminalizing them?
Condoms sold out
Rise of sexually transmitted diseases
Baby Boom
Dispensaries sold out
Black web goes
mainstream
Food waste on the rise as people stockpile food they never use
New releases no longer held for the theater. straight to streaming becomes norm.
Halting elective medical procedures slows diagnostic procedures like colonscopies. Hence, effort to reduce deaths from coronavirus risks delaying detection of cancers or other medical conditions, and deaths or complications from those are increased...
The socioeconomically poor will become further separated from social interactions and job opportunities as community spaces (eg. libraries) become restricted / limited
Increased cyber crime/identity theft for procuring credit cards based on data from older data breaches that were sold on the black web.
S1: Continuation
Companies resistant to mobile working
Some shortages
Poeople in need unable to get whats needed
People riot
Peoples protests rewarded by rations untill food is restored
Stores reopen earlier than expected to reduce risk of social problems
Mix of in-person & online meetings
Existing Supply chains impacted by personnel shortages
Test
Quarantines put in place for sick
Treatments for sick
Cure for disease
Sick gets better and number of infected drops
Complete isolation for sick
Death of thousands
Going to the grocery store requires touching everything
New ways of Getting groceries in mass,like stacking orders, Vending machine
method
Physical modes of payment that require touching (credit cards and cash) are pervasive
means to sterilize cards, coins and cash pop up at points of sale
Partisan spin challenges the true causes of change
Businesses collapse as current models fail, shrinking the economy within the current system
Continued denial of the impact of this virus
Ways to Ride Transition
Do What We Did
Last Time This Happened
Or, practice these Principles: honesty, hope, faith, courage, integrity, willingness, humility, love, justice, perseverance, spiritual awareness, and service.
Read “Panarchy”
= learn, reflect, and act.
Observations & Ideas
Products & Services
No-touch interfaces/haptics
TP-roll with each purchase
Special shopping hours for older/more vulnerable patrons
Sanitary vending machines for more types of product
"Green hands" dye shows when someone shakes hands
Medical suites in living complexes & home-association neighborhoods
Gift-wrapped toilet paper
Culture & Values Changes
Rebellion against new rules
Speakeasy parties
Spring Break parties on Florida beaches
More tolerance for individual style & personal expression
Bring your life to work
Pets at work
Kids at work
Less emphasis on individualism, more on community awareness
Coronialal Generation
Virus-phobia changes to people's personalities
Socially our personal bubbles will change. Who will we trust within a 1ft bubble compared to 5 ft?
Security
Miscellaneous
Economy
Toilet-paper economy
Accelerate decline of storefront businesses
Governments & Laws
must maintain a specific physical distance for safety
Health & Safety
Accidental face-touching when adjusting mask
Open questions/uncertainties
Volunteering
Personal habits/lifestyle
Changes in fashion as "low-casual" becomes more accepted
Make-up industry impacts
Makeup becomes more important as virtual interactions increase
Specialized makeup and tutorials designed for virtual living
Less makeup as the need is not felt when working from home
Demographics
New baby boom
Baby blip or baby boom?
Sanitizer economy
Quotes
"When times are normal we need normal leaders. When times are abnormal we need abnormal leaders"
BLAH BLAH
Plumbers more popular now...
Forget Some of Your Old Ways