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Vulnerability (Defined by (of what to what (of the population to natural…

- - - - Population
        
        Prevention
        
        Preparation
        
        Response
        
        move to safe locations
        
        Recovery
        
        rebuild infrastructure
        
        understand warning messages
        
        live in safe location
      - Government
        
        Prevention
        
        Preparation
        
        Response
        
        temporary housing
        
        Recovery
        
        build back better
        
        early warning systems
        
        infrastructure redesign
  - - - Pressure model
        
        Root causes
        
        Dynamic pressures
        
        Unsafe conditions
        
        Disaster
        
        Risk = Hazard X Vulnerability
        
        Hazards
        
        Fragile physical environment
        
        Fragile local economy
        
        Vulnerable society
        
        Public actions
        
        Lack of
        
        Macro-forces
        
        Limited access to
        
        Ideologies
      - Release model
        
        address root causes
        
        Reduce pressures
        
        Achieve safe conditions
        
        Reduce disaster risk
        
        Aim for a controlled situation
        
        Reduce hazards
        
        Protected environment
        
        Resilient local economy
        
        Public actions
        
        Development
        
        Macro-forces
        
        Increase access of vulnerable groups
        
        Challenge
- - - - Different types of models
        
        Statistical models
        
        Bayesian networks
        
        Systems dynamics
        
        neural networks
        
        Fuzzy methods
        
        Agent-based models
        
        Empirical model
        
        Conceptual models
    - - Simplification of reality
      - Tool to explore systems
      - System is a model
      - As simple as possible but not to simple
    - - Goals and objectives
        
        Conceptual model
        
        Mathematical model
        
        Model analysis
        
        Sensitivity
        
        Calibration
        
        Verification
        
        Validation
        
        According to the model use
        
        can be
        
        Black box
        
        Things to consider
        
        2 more items...
        
        Process based
        
        Uses functions like
        
        Linear
        
        Mono
        
        S-shaped
        
        Hyperbolic
        
        Exponential
        
        Parabolic
        
        Ivlev
        
        Steel
        
        Bell
        
        uses
        
        State variables
        
        Intermediate or auxiliary variables
        
        Interactions
        
        Characterized by
        
        Temporal
        
        Model in time
        
        Spatial
        
        Geographic resolution
        
        Structural
        
        Relations between elements
        
        Boundaries
        
        open vs closed
        
        number of inputs and outputs
    - - Boundaries
        
        can be
        
        Adminastritive and institutional
        
        Social
        
        Current state of technology
        
        Physical and geographical
        
        Characterized by
        
        Inevitability
        
        Subjectivity
        
        impact
        
        The need to justify
        
        Basis for judgement
        
        can be
        
        Tight
        
        reducing complexity focus on separate elements
        
        Wide
        
        Holistic with a focus on interconnected elements
        
        including or excluding
        
        Substance
        
        Participation
        
        Structure
        
        Context
        
        Questions used to specify
        
        Of what
        
        To what
        
        For whom
        
        What timeframe