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STATISTICS (CONCISE (DISTRIBUTION (Normal variable x (X~N(μ,σ^2 ), E(x)=μ,…
STATISTICS
CONCISE
PROBABILITY
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Basic
Venn Diagram
\[A\,\cup\,B\,(A\,or\,B\,or\,both)\]
\[P(A\,\cup\,B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\,\cap\,B)\]
\[A\,\cap\,B\,(both\,A\,and\,B)\]
For independent events, \[P(A\,\cap\,B)=P(A)\,\times\,P(B)\]
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\[Conditional\,Probability\]
For independent events, P(A|B)=P(A)
\[Complementary\,event,\,\bar{A}\,or\,A'\]
P(A) + P(A') = 1 \[Exhaustive\,Event\]
\[P(A\,\cup\,A')=1\]
Tree Diagram
Bayes theorem
- Reverse condition
-We know P(B|A) but we want P(A|B)
-Same formula as conditional probability
Arrangements
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Combination
\[^{n}C_{r}\,or\,_{n}C_{r}=\frac{n!}{n!(n-r)!}\]
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DISTRIBUTION
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to standardise X, use Z=(X- μ)/σ
Binomial Distribution
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Probability Density Function
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Poisson Distribution
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Probability Density Function
Mode of X
If lambda is an integer, the mode is lambda.
If lambda is non integer, the mode is lambda and lambda-1.
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OPTION
NON-DISTRIBUTION
Unbiased estimators
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If a population has a parameter a then the sample statistic
 is an unbiased estimator of a if E(Â) = a.
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Important Key Notes
- An estimator is unbiased if its expected value equals the population mean of X
- The most efficient estimator has the smallest variance
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Hypothesis Testing
General procedure for hypothesis testing:
- Define variables
- State hypothesis \[H_0 \ ,\ H_1\]
- State significance level
- Decide which type of test statistic
- State distribution assuming that null hypothesis is true
- Calculate test statistic
- Conclusion (state whether the statistic is sufficiently unlikely by using p-value or critical region)
One-tailed and two-tailed test
Error in hypothesis testing:
DISTRIBUTION
Geometric Distribution
Meaning
- The number of trials up to and including the first success, x
Parameter
PDF
- P(X = x) = q^(x-1)p, where q = 1 - p
\[P(X=x)=q^{x-1}p\]
Expectation
Variance
- Var(X) = q/(p^2), where q = 1 – p
Mode
CDF
The cumulative distribution function gives the probability of the random variable taking a value less than or equal to x.
Formula
For a discrete distribution with probability mass function \(P(X = x)\):
\[P(X\leq x)=\sum_{i=-\infty }^{i=x}p_{i}\]
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If X has cdf \(F(x)\) for \(a< x< b\) and \(Y=g(X)\) (where \(g(X)\) is a 1-to-1 function) then the pdf of Y, \(h(y)\), is given by:
1) Relating \(H(y)\) to \(F(g^{-1}(y))\) by rearranging the inequality in \(P(Y\leq X)=P(g(X)\leq y)\).
2) Differentiating \(H(y)\) with respect to y.
3) Writing the domain of \(h(y)\) by solving the inequality \(a< g^{-1}(y)< b\)
Negative Binomial
PDF
\[^{x-1}C_{r-1}\,=p^{r} q^{x-r}\]
where x= r, r+1, r+2, ...
X= Number of trials up to and including r successes
Parameter
X~ NB(r,p)
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