Chapter 2: Firm Level Data - Factors affecting business growth (PC vs.…
Chapter 2: Firm Level Data - Factors affecting business growth (PC vs. NPC)
Make link to Chapter 1
Macro growth in PC
Foreign Investment has positive impact in post-conflict
What does that look like at the firm level?
How is it different from non post-conflict areas?
Go through sections and structures of this paper
Go through results of this paper
Literature Review (?)
Literature on post-conflict businesses and what makes them different
Literature on business growth in developing world (?)
Literature using world bank enterprise surveys (?)
Explain WBES and its structure
Post-Conflict vs. Non Post-Conflict Split
Basic Summary statistics
A look at outliers
Close-Up on Sector Analysis
Close-Up on Access to Credit Analysis
Close-Up on Foreign Investment
Results of separate regressions
Access to credit possibly more impactful in PC
Emp training very impactful in both
Foreign Invest significant positive impact in NPC, no impact PC
Small firms grow the most in both
Medium firms grow more in PC
Explore supplier credit effect in PC (takes away impact of credit from other sources)
Differences in Sectors
Results of Interaction regressions
Suggests access to credit important but not significantly different in PC vs. NPC
Training important in both but more impactful in PC
Foreign inv important in NPC but not PC
Regulation in PC positive - explore?
Interactions with Sectors
Foreign Investment is most impactful in manufacturing in NPC
Training is less effective in services
Access to credit is most impactful in PC manufacturers
Further Exploration of These Results
Access to Credit PROBIT & POISSON MODELS
What are the factors that determine if a company receives credit?
How does this change for the type of Credit?
The FOOD Sector
Why is this so different in PC vs. NPC
Regressions for just Food sector
FDI positive in NPC
Access to credit important in both
Corruption taking big negative effective in PC
Analysis on Obstacles negatively impacting growth
Tax, instability, infrastructure bigger obstacles in PC
Customs, worker education bigger problems in NPC (more developed businesses looking to grow)
Case study: Qualitative studies from food businesses in Liberia
Infrastructure HUGE problem
Monopoly in inputs
Aid getting in the way
Direct War Effects
4 more items...
Importance of Research
How do we empower local markets after conflict?
What do firms in post-conflict settings need?
How can policies and development programs help this?
Better quality data - panel data needed
Better data on investment levels
Make link to community living standards
Run Separate Regressions for PC and NPC
Run Regression with interactions
Interactions with Post-Conflict
Interactions with PC AND Sector
Make Link to Chapter 3 (Qualitative Data)
Influence of Foreign Investment
External Difficulties of doing business in these types of markets (infrastructure, macro-policies, negative shocks, etc.)
Importance of Finance, Human Capital, Networks