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Logistics and principle chapter 5, 6 and 7 (Order methods (The sS order…
Logistics and principle chapter 5, 6 and 7
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Forecasting methods
demand forecasting is an important input for logistics systems, such as MRP and DRP
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Time series forecasting
Estimate is made of the future demand, assuming a certain trend in consumption
3 models:
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The moving average
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Calculations use the last 2, 3 and 4 observations
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Forecasting is usually unavoidable, considering the choice of the CODP
When comparing the financial and logsitcs data, it often transpires that there are differences
The figures passed on to logistics are such that they are certain there will be sufficient goods in stock
This is dangerous, because unwanted building-up of stocks could occur
Types of inventory
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Inventory turnover depends on on the way in which inventory is replenished and/or of the pattern of consumption
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Theoretical inventory
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Inventory ordered
The goods that are on order from a supplier and that have not yet been included in the warehouse inventory
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Economic inventory
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Sum of physical inventory and the ordered inventory, but not yet received goods less the goods already sold but not yet deliverd to the customer
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Inventory costs
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Interest costs
Depends on the interest rate that the company would reveice if they managed to release a quantity of goods for cash and then invest his cash on the money market
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Camp's formula
When holding inventory at 1 point, most economically responsible batch quantities can be calculated
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Order methods
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The sS order method
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Order series is variable, but the order moments are fixed
BS order method
Used in cases where there are limitations to the max inventory level and/or max amount of money that can be spent on one single item
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Stochastic models
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Safety stock quantity
Sv,k=Kx x Ol = Kx x O x √L
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Re-order point
Bx= Dl + Sv,x = U x L + Kx O x √L
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