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Setting assumptions (Why past data may not be relevant to the future…
Setting assumptions
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Assumptions affected by changes in social, economic and fiscal conditions
Social trends, such as medical advances, affect mortality data
Economic conditons affect financial assumptions such as dividend yields, salary growth, inflation rates and investment returns
Economic conditions, such as a recession, also affect demographic assumptions such as withdrawal rates, take up rares and claim rates (e.g. due to crime, moral hazard)
Fiscal changes (i.e. tax rates) affect dividend yields, salary growth and investment returns.
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