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Selection (Methods and Techniques for Selection (Introduction (Opinions vs…

- - - - Trial and error can be improved by keeping clear records and experiments and results
      - continuous testing of ideas and comparing them to discover which is best
      - slow and tedious, potentially costly, but every idea gets tested
      - good method when you don't know where to start
    - - Develop clear criteria for comparison
      - evaluate ideas objectively
      - specify options in a grid and list criteria for comparison, allow you to see how many are fulfilled
      - tally up the option to see how they compare quantitatively
      - use a heatmap to visually convey your results
    - - Seek outside help and perspective
      - crowdsource the selection process
      - invite different perspectives to weigh in on options
      - seek the options of experts in the field
      - seek the opinions of stakeholders
    - - Develop a system to evaluate the importance of your objectives
      - some objectives are more important than others
      - ideas that fulfill important objectives are better than ones that fulfill less important objectives
      - sort objectives by their relative rank / weight
    - - Picture the best and worst situation
      - replace worrying about outcomes
      - experience them via imagination
      - which imagined situation has the most pros vs cons?
    - - Take the best parts of several ideas and rework them to form a new composite idea
      - several ideas are more interesting than a given one
      - create a mash-up based on the best properties of previous ideas
      - can you combine ideas to fulfill criteria more effectively?
    - - Three factors included in decisions: criteria, options, and the relationship between them
      - possible decision-making pitfalls:
        
        criteria is too general: expectations need to be more definitive
        
        criteria is too ambivalent: expectations contain internal conflict
        
        criteria overbearing: too much is wanted at once
        
        options are too similar: not enough alternatives
        
        too many options: alternatives are lost in the crowd
        
        criteria and options unrelated: ideas aren't offering clear paths to achieve objectives
  - - - identify the concerns, problems, or issues involved by creating a list of them
      - separate the level of concern by giving them some kind of ranking of importance (1 through 10)
      - establish a priority level for each concern based on the seriousness of its impact (1 through 10)
      - Access the ideas from ideation phase
        
        identify what the decision is about
        
        establish and classify objectives used in the decision
        
        separate objectives into musts and wants
        
        musts are objects that are either met or not (true or false, on or off, etc)
        
        wants are objectives with some weighted ranking to measure importance
        
        generate the alternatives (ideas you have created that are alternatives to the current situation)
        
        evaluate the alternatives by scoring how well they fulfill the wants (1-10)
        
        review adverse consequences to the implementation of these alternatives (risks)
        
        make the best possible choice (it may not be perfect, but its the best from the pool you created)
      - To further refine
        
        identify potential problems related to the chosen alternative
        
        identify possible causes for the problem
        
        test and verify possible causes
        
        take preventative action to refine your alternative and reduce impact of the potential problem
        
        make contingency plans for how to address potential problems
- - - - Selecting a Solution
      - Restate the goals or objectives
      - Choose the option that best fulfills those goals or objectives
      - Compare and prioritize goals
      - Select a path and plan of action
    - - Not all solutions are equal
      - Determine which solution has the most promise
        
        Realistic
        
        Feasible
        
        Appropriate
    - - Match your desired goals with the opportunities you've identified
      - Use speed, assertiveness, conviction, and maturity to select one or more ideas from the many options, leaving behind the others
      - Strengthen your solutions to make them as strong as possible
      - Redefine your audience
        
        who will benefit or be disadvantaged by the solution
      - Rely on facts, but don't disregard intuition
  - - - Can it be implemented in a reasonable time?
      - Can it be done within budget?
      - Will it work reliably?
      - Will it use physical and human resources efficiently?
      - Is it flexible enough to adapt to changing conditions?
      - Will those implementing support the solution, perceiving it as worth their time and energy?
      - Are the risks manageable?
      - Will the solution benefit the persons affected by the problem?
      - Will it benefit the organization?