Superpowers
What are superpowers/How have they changed over time?
Factors contributing to a superpower
Military Power
using the military to protect themselves and to project power over other places/Maintaining control
Many superpowers are nuclear nations
Physical Size/Geographical Position
Linked to resources in the country = Russia has huge gas/oil reserves/USA has huge oil reserves. This means that the price is low in the country and that the country is not dependent upon other nations for energy
Economic Power
Essential base of a superpower - ability to form a military or invest in new technology
The world's largest 10 economies
Earn 65% Global GDP
Control Investment
Have powerful currencies
Use strength to dominate global financial organisations e.g. WB/IMF
Provide and therefore control global aid budget
Demographic
Population size and structure influences economic growth e.g. availability of a young workforce in China/India, the need for immigration in the UK
Political Factors
Having membership of IGOs such as...
OECD - the largest 35 economies meet annually
G8 and G20 - both significant in making changes across the globe
The World Economic Forum - meets in Davos each year to decide global economic policies
The UN security council - Especially permanent states (UK,FRA,USA,CHN,RUS)
Cultural Influence
the appeal of a country's way of life/ideologies. Spread through: Music, Fashion, Art, Media, Democracy
Theories of why power changed over time
Mackinder's Geo-Strategic Location Theory
Advantages
Disadvantages
Seems to ignore the growth of the US
Makese no account for resource rich nations such as the Middle East
Some modern accuracy with the UK
A theory that whoever controlled europe and asia, controlled the rest of the world. He believed that the heartland could shift as a result of sea power. He acknowledged that Russia should be the world's superpower, but they are disadvantaged by having too many national borders, and a coastline that is predominantly frozen in winter
The economic centre of gravity
Show how the centre of economic activity has changed since 1AD
The centre is pulled towards the region with the largest GDP = map shows industrial revolution + growth of the US
Shift in the latter half of the 20th century reflects the recovery of Europe post WW2
The United States
Military
2nd largest army w. 1.5million personnel
Annual defence budget of $597.9bn (2016)
Nuclear nation
Leading member of NATO
Physical Size and Geographical Location
4th largest nation on earth
Only shares 2 land borders
Position makes it very difficult to attack
Significant resources incl. oil/iron ore/coal
Economic
World's Largest GDP of $11 trillion
163/500 largest TNCs
Huge domestic market = 30% world's economic consumption
Demographic
3rd most populous nation on earth
Relatively young population due to relatively high levels of immigration
Low Population density
Political
Leading role in most IGOs
Permanent Member of UN security council
lead member of NAFTA
British Empire
Cultural
Dominant in world of fashion, media, tech, film, music
Often viewed as global centre of democracy, freedom - American Dream
History
Roots of the age of discovery in 1400s
Est. trading routes/trading companies to finance voyages for commodities such as tea, sugar, spices
raw materials brought back to UK cities
Britain a key player in the trans-american slave trade
How did we maintain control?
Technology
Britain had latest military tech with ships, guns, explosives. often were fighting primitive technology
Cultural Values
British inventions such as the railway, legal systems, sport, english language were introduced all over the world
Domestic Support
Brits believed in their moral and cultural superiority. Were taught the successes of the empire in school
Military power
Rebellions were frequent. They were put down with great force
Why did it decline?
Increasing competition from France, Germany, US
Increasing military and economic cooperation from within Europe
Economic Cost of financing 2 world wars
Loss of support at home. People didn't believe that it was right
Lack of military strength = rebellions were frequent
Cold war - BIPOLAR world
Underlying developments
Rapid US industrialisation following civil war in 1860s. Became world's largest economy in 1908
Russian revolution of 1917 = world's first communist state. Rapid industrialisation followed
Europe was split between 2 alliances
USSR = Warsaw pact
USA = NATO
Both organisations promised guaranteed military support if attacked
Eastern Europe was politically independent, but controlled from moscow
Western Europe had huge financial support following WW2
In US, there was a propaganda war against communism
both sides never came into contact, but had multiple proxy wars and almost did during the Cuban missile crisis
Indirect control and neocolonialism
Indirect control = controlling countries that have political independence but economic dependence
Strategic alliances
military alliances between developing nation and superpower = developing nation is dependent upon super power support
Aid
Foreign aid is often met with conditionality = often to open up markets or agree to policies set by the donor
TNC investment
investment creates jobs/wealth, however, this is dependent upon friendly relationships
Terms of trade
Low export prices vs high import prices (Frank's developement theory)
Debt
Developing countries which owe debt become reliant upon the donor
BRICS
Brazil
+ives
Produces 1/2 South america's GDP
Huge natural resources = 1/3 world's iron ore/second largest producer of biofuel
Self-sufficient in food and energy
A democratic government following 30 years of military dictatorship post WW2
spends over 60% south america's military budget
Huge biodiversity and supporter of climate change restrictions
-ives
Over reliant upon primary products for export
less politically stable in the most recent years
Military less significant with lower global reach than most BRICs
Major environmental issues incl. deforestation and farming issues
Russia
+ives
9th largest global economy with largest GDP/capita of the BRICs
Highest HDI score of 0.798
71% population have internet access
Permanent member of UN security council
Large military - often shows power such as Vostok Games in 2018
40% global gas supply
-ives
China
over dependent upon oil and gas exports
issue of alcoholism
unbalanced economy with the superrich and the superpoor
ageing military is lacking new tech
+ives
-ives
2nd largest GDP
GDP/capita and average wage has tripled in last 10 years
Rapidly improving infrastructure
Worlds largest army w. 2.2million personnel
Nuclear
Permanent member of UN security council
GDP/capita is still low
Lack of democracy and poor human rights record
Only 2% population uni graduates
Set to have and ageing population with the one child policy
Huge environmental problems
India
+ives
Annual economic growth is 7% since 1997 and 2015
Widespread use of english
Large call centre/IT industry which attracts $90bn of FDI annually
World's 4th largest army
World's largest democracy
-ives
lowest GDP/capita of all BRICs of $6000
Low internet access at 34%
Over reliant upon agriculture = 18% GDP
Poor infrastructure with frequent power cuts and water shortages
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UN Climate Change conference
An example of how superpowers may be restricted by global governance
An annual meeting that sets global climate change policy
Examples include the 2016 Paris Agreement - the first time that all states agreed to set emissions targets. The USA have now pulled out of this
However, there are a lack of sanctions on those who break the agreement
World's biggest polluter has reinstated its commitment to the agreement
Development theories
Modernisation Theory
Rostov's 5 stages of development
This explains the dominance of the British Empire and the USA
Post WWII, the US believed that investing in LIDCs in the form of loans would enable then to reach the preconditions for take off = reduces the chance of them adopting communism as an economic solution
Frank's Development theory
Frank believed that superpowers maintain their strength by exploiting LIDCs through TNCs (exploitation of cheap labour and resources)
Some believed that the US dominance in WTO/IMF creates continuing dependency
Theory States that the LIDCs need to break their dependency by: - creating their own investment bank or - resigning from current international institutions and agreements
Wallerstein's World Systems theory
Suggests that the core and periphery are dependent upon each other
Wallerstein argues that the core needs the semi-periphery as it prevents the rest of the world from turning against them
The theory reflects a capitalist, free trade model
The core may turn to other states to provide supports during recessions. E.G. China investing in ACs after the 2008 financial crisis
What are the impacts of superpowers on the global economy, political systems and the physical environment?
Superpowers and decision making
Alliances increase interdependence
The EU
Has an economy second in size to the US
Euro is the second most traded currency globally
The EU represents 400 million consumers = strong position during international negotiations
All agreements are made on a bloc basis
All members must follow EU legislation
Some members favour a United Nations of Europe and a European Army
UN Security Council
This is the global mechanism to maintain peace and security
5 permanent seats (UK, US, RUS, CHN, FRA)
The council can apply sanctions/authorise the use of military force/Authorise a UN peacekeeping force to be sent over to try to regain peace
Criticisms
Any of the 5 permanent member states can veto a decision
The UK, US, FRA tend to vote as one and so do CHN, RUS = deadlock
Have been accused of failing to act
How superpowers influence the global economy
Culture
This has lead to cultural backlash
Jose Bove bulldozed a McDonalds as a protest against the growth hormones used in the burgers
Alternatives to barbie dolls in the middle east - they wear national dress
China only allows 20 Hollywood based films to be released every year
The US cultural Global reach
Media - CNN and news corp are two very powerful multimedia organisations. Tend to have agendas. News corps papers supported Brexit
Food and Drink - driving force behind fast food and soft drink culture
Language - global spread of english w. 600million speakers. Second language in most countires
Fashion - particularly youth fashion. 'Invented' Jeans, tshirts, sportswear as leisure wear
Music - source of most modern music (Rock, rap, r and b, house). 50% of recording and streaming was in English
Cinema - 18/20 highest grossing movies were made in Hollywood
Free market capitalism
since the end of the cold war, the world has been dominated by the free-market capitalist system
Free Market Capitalism Features
Buying and selling of goods in a free market with limited restrictions
The right to make a profit/accumulate any quantity of wealth
Wages based upon supply and demand
Private ownership of business
Private ownership of business and property
TNCs
Patents
GM Crops
Farmers are prosecuted if they use these seeds
Farmers buy GM seeds but are not allowed to use the new seeds created naturally from the planted GM crop as the new seeds are still owned by the producer
Most GM crops are patented by TNCs
Pharmaceuticals
However, the poor can be out marketed which means that they can't access the healthcare that they need (e.g. HIV in africa)
Therefore High sales prices are needed to make up for this
The drug itself is cheap to produce. The research isn't
As drugs cost millions to research and develop they are useful
These types of patents tend to last 20 years
Technology
In 1995, the WTO introduced the modern patent system - a system where all WTO members had to apply for patents of their goods to protect from fakes
There is an argument that patents protect TNCs and therefore superpowers
some property rights are awarded to individual inventors such as James Dyson with the bagless hoover
They guarantee a financial return for the original producer of the product
Patents are designed to protect intellectual property rights
There is increasing importance of state owned TNCs in BRIC countries
The annual turn over of a company like walmart is the same as the economy of sweden (the world's 22nd largest economy)
TNcs now control over 80% of the global trade, worth $20bn
400 of the 500 largest TNCs come from only 7 countries. However, since 2005, there has been a massive boom in the Asian TNCs as a result of their growth. E.G. china has increased massively
E.g. Walmart in the US had an annual revenue of $486bn. But Sinopec (Chinese owned) had an annual revenue of $456bn
International court of Justice
This is at The Hague, Netherlands
Settles disputes between international members
there are 15 judges with all world regions represented
5 permanent security council members are allocated 1 judge each
Often send war leaders to international prison for war crimes
NATO
has 28 members
'An attack on one is an attack on all'
Dominated by the US, but all member states pledge to spend a % of GDP on military
Trump has claimed that countries need to spend more, if they are to be protected by the US
regular joint military exercises
Claimed increasing irrelevancy after the Cold War
Member states can act individually
CASE STUDY: Iraq
Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990 for the oil fields
there was a global concern that Saddam Hussain (who controlled 40% of global oil supplies) would attack saudi arabia for oil
President Bush and PM thatcher urged a military solution
a coalition of 35 nations joined the military force (commanded by the US who provided 500,000 troops
Saudi Arabia allowed the US to have bases on the soil.
Bin Laden (previously trained by the US to fight against the USSR in Afghanistan) didn't like this. Set up the 9/11 attacks
The war in Saudi Arabia was largely live broadcasted by CNN
A 5 week aerial and naval bombardment started in Jan 1991 - followed by a 4 day ground war in Feb
Coalition losses = 300. Iraqi losses = 30,000
UN had not authorised the occupation of Iraq. So once the liberation of Kuwait was achieved, coalition forces withdrew.
Saddam Hussain remained in power
Invasion of Iraq after 9/11 (War on Terror)
The UN did not authorise the war in Iraq
However, 6 countries (led by the US and UK) still invaded Iraq
UK claimed that Iraq had Weapons of Mass Destruction, that imposed a threat on the UK
there were 1.5 million anti-war protesters in London
Air/Ground war lasted 1 week w. Iraqi forces comprehensively defeated
297 UK losses, 500,000 Iraqi losses
No WoMD were ever found - plunged Iraq into chaos and ISIS was formed
Physical Environment superpower influence
Overview
China overtook the US in energy use in 2009
US held the top position for energy usage for 100 years
In 2000, China's energy usage was 1/2 of the US. By 2015 it was 30% higher
ACs = 2/3 global GDP in 1980, now it is 1/2
Global energy use is set to rise by 36% by 2030
The demand for oil in EDCs + LIDCs overtook ACs in 2013
Russia and Iran hold 65% of natural gas reserves
CASE STUDY: China
China's demand for raw materials has accounted for 90% of the global increase in the sea traffic since 2000 - imports 10 million tonnes of iron ore every week
Huge investor in overseas supplies (copper mines in Zambia)
Largest consumer of coal/wheat/cotton/rice
Widespread water shortages in CHN - consumption exceeded supply by 70% in Beijing 2015
China is buying fertile farmland in Africa to produce wheat, meat, rice for it's population
Over 1bn Chinese owns a mobile phone = huge demand for Li/Cu/Zn
450million extra cars on the roads of china
increase of 80% global meat consumption
Superpowers and environmental policy
CHN
Poor historical record
Committed to the paris climate change agreement - has agreed to cut emissions
more wind turbines than any nation
the world's largest investor in renewable technologies
halted construction of new coal fired power stations
any international progress would be meaningless without chinese cooperation
USA
Shown global leadership - cut emissions by 10%
tripled wind power between 2005-15 increased solar energy production by 1000%
Obama introduced pollution standards and legally enforceable energy efficiency measures
many see environmental legislation as anti-freemarket and do not favour restriction
Trump indicated that he will repeal legislation- he disputes the scientific evidence behind climate change
RUS
Supported Paris agreement
Agreed requirements to cut emissions to 30% below 1990 levels - due to deindustrialisation following collapse of communism, this will easily be achieved = little impact on RUS economy
What spheres of influence are contested by superpowers and what are the implications of this?
Tensions
Tensions over resources - Arctic Oil and Gas
2007, a Russian submarine planted a flag on the seabed underneath N. Pole, indicating its claim for the resources in that section of the Arctic. 7 nations have competing claims in this region
US estimates that 30% of global undiscovered oil and gas could being in the Arctic region
Russia has granted permits for TNCs to start exploration in disputed regions
UN law of sea = countries are allowed to claim minerals and resources within 200miles of their coastline. However, some of these overlap = tensions
Russia, canada, US, EU (all with powerful armed forces, members of military alliances or have nuclear weapons) are key players
Tensions increase due to technological advances, alternatives supplies running out, arctic becoming more accessible due to sea ice
Economic Tensions - Fake
Increasing violations against patents
Faking brands is illegal under WTO rules
Industry is concentrated in CHN, TUR, THI, SPN
Key areas are: Fashion e.g. Louis Vuitton 70% are fake
DVDs/software are a growth market
More dangerous include fake cigarettes/alcohol
Some seem to ignore, such as the stalls in the grand bazaar in Istanbul
Tensions over territory - Russian Western Border
Previous regions of USSR became independent after collapse of USSR in 1991
Includes Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Ukraine
Some still view this as russian territory/embarrassed that the USSR collapsed
Tensions increased as Eastern European states became more aligned with the west, e.g. Joining EU/NATO
Crimea
Russia tried to gain back Crimea after Ukraine tried to apply to EU/NATO
It organised a disputed referrendum on whether Crimea should be russian or Ukrainian
Before the Referendum, Russia sent in troops which flushed out all the Native Ukrainians
Russia also threatened to cut of gas supplies as a punishment for Ukraine's pro-western stance
NATO have deployed several ground forces on Eastern Border in responce
Tensions over Territory - South China Sea
Numerous territorial disputes e.g. CHN/JPN and Senkaku Islands
Islands are important as they provide ownership of minerals/resources
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