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RECESSION (CONSEQUENCES (On firms (Falling Profits (Negative economic…
RECESSION
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CONSEQUENCES
On firms
Falling Profits
Negative economic growth
Fall in purchasing power of households ⤶
Fall in dd for firms’ goods and services ⤶
(assuming normal goods)
Fall in total revenue ⤶
Fall in profits ⤶
Affect firms' survival ⤶
Discourage Investment
Negative economic growth
Decreases firms’ and consumers’ confidence ⤶
Makes planning for investment more difficult ⤶
Consumers cut back on spending ⤶
(→ fall in dd for firms’ g&s → reduced profitability of firm)
Firms face uncertainty of future dd for their g&s ⤶
Decrease in expected yields ⤶
Leftward shift of the MEI curve ⤶
Volume of investment decreases ⤶
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Decrease in any one or more of C, I, G, X-M
- Initial Eqm is where AD1=AS1, real output is Y0
- Shift in AD from AD1 to AD2
- Surplus of Y2Y0 at initial price level → firms’ inventories accumulate → firms incentivized to ↓ total output
- Downward pressure on GPL → ↑total spending
- Eqm is achieved where AD2=AS1
- GPL fell to P0
- Real output fell by a multiplied amount to Y1 → negative economic growth
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- ↓AS → negative potential growth
- ↓AS → ↓real output → negative actual growth as well
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Evaluation: The fall in the volume of I would depend on the severity of consumers’ and firms’ loss of confidence. MEI shifts leftwards to a greater extent if firms’ expected yields from investment falls further due to greater uncertainty for the demand for their g & s