How anthropogenic climate change affects mountain pine beetle population in Western Canada
Introduction
Results/Figures
Discussion
Future research
Potential epidemic insecT population because of climate change
More mountain pine beetle infestatiions because of decreased factors that control the populations
Increased winter temperature will increase cycles
Increasing trend in outbreak probability of 1 or 2 degree
Covariates for particular cold temperature scenarios(QuestionsLwhat are covariates)
Biggest decrease in low temperatures minimzed outbreak probability
mORE RESEARHC ON univoltine to bivoltine reproduction cycle because of warming environment
Decreased age of pine trees because of increased forest fires
Using projection models to monitor other insect and pathogen population growth
Increase in outbreaks shows how winter temperatures influence pine beet reproductive cycles
What does the variance mean
What does the size of p mean
4 degree warming leads to decreased consistent of outbreaks
Higher elevation and north latitude more likely to see outbreaks
Positive feedback of increased forest death causing increased fire risk and increased CO2