i and neighbours

china(c)

forces shaping i-c relations

rise of asia post 2008 crisis

i - high GDP growth

c - BRI, CPEC

west's declining capacity - to keep international stability

mamallapuram summit, 2019

facts

2nd i-c informal summit

1st - wuhan summit, 2018

bangladesh

NRC

overview :

assam NRC

meaning

legal citizens of assam

indian citizens living in assam

NRC

list of legal citizens of assam (only state to have this doc)

persons included

name in

NRC(1951)

electoral rolls upto 24 march,1971

and their descendants

result

19 lakh of 3.2 crore left out

they can appeal to appellate authority - foreigners' (f) tribunal

estd under f (tribunal) order, 1964

role - to identify if a person is f or not

f meaning by f act 1946 - person who isn't i citizen

power of civil court

currently functioning in assam only

meaning

doc governed/exist by

citizenship act 1955

citizenship rules 2003

2010 MoHA order

positives

issues

way forward

SL

trade relations

2000: indo-SL FTA

i is SL's largest trading partner - 1.4 billion $

dev/infra coop

50000 housing units in SL

cultural centre at jaffna

restored thirukitisu virasam temple

i to

develop trincomalee port

upgrade

jaffna-colombo rail track

kankesanthurai port

upgrade & operate mattala airport

defence coop

exercises

SLINEX

dhosti

boundary line

1974 - 'maritime boundary line agreement' - kacchateevu island given to SL

challenges in relation

china factor

SL endorsed BRI

SL leased hambantota port to china - part of string of pearls

debt trap on SL - 1.2 billion $ debt to equity swap agreement

ethnic issue

conflict b/w sinhala majority & tamil minority

fishing disputes

straying of fishermen in each others' territorial waters

fishermen arrests - indian > SLan : reasons

less fish in indian waters

lack of multi-day fishing capability

bottom trawling (env enemy) by i fishermen

banned by SL

2016 - 'joint working group' - bottom trawling to be abandoned

conlusion

good occasion to build mutual trust

i to respect sovereignty of smaller neighbour

general points - eco coop, resolve disputes

maldives

background

independence

1965 - from UK

i - 1st country to recognise independence

politics

1988 - "operation cactus" by i - to secure democracy in maldives

2010 - mohammad nashir - 1st democratically elected president

2012 coup - abdullah yameen abdul gayoom becomes president

nashir took refuge in indian embassy

2018 - emergency declared by yameen - i largely silent

defence relations

2013 - i-SL-maldives trilateral security initiative - to strengthen maritime security

2016 - i-maldives action plan for defence

building ports and giving training to maldives forces

economic relations

1981 - trade agreement

700 crore rs trade

dev cooperation - i's construction & aid

faculty of engineering tech

faculty of hospitality & tourism industries

40 million $ credit

concerns

china factor

maldives support to MSR(maritime silk road) & BRI

2012 - ibrahim naseer airport modernisation project - cancelled with GMR (i's company) and given to chinese company

2017 - FTA

low bilateral trade - 200 million $

India's Neighbourhood policy

suggestions

work on making clarity on policies

creating interdependence in this region (South Asian region is the least integrated region across the word

a plan for continuous engagement at various levels with diplomacy aligned in a manner that does not make our neighbours feel marginalised

better connectivity with n with better planning & infrast

it should be linked with software of connectivity so as to make it realistic

eg most connectivity constraints can be solved with the help of automation and software

eg - in Europe most constraints in connectivity and people transit are remove with help of automation and softwares

give them importance by providing them national treatment wrt use of our transportation network, ports, exports & imports(i.e allow them to use our infrast)

work more closely with like minded partners that are fellow democracies

resolve conflicts via coordination & integration wrt our developmental activities in n c

India's engagement with n countries should not be episodic or event oriented it should be process oriented

issues

current policy - episodic

I takes decisions on our relations with n by considering our domestic situations - no stable policy

not good idea as domestic drivers most of the times put foreign policy objectives to a lower position

eg - issue with Bangladesh due to India's CAA

relations with n getting deteriorated since we accuse them of engaging with China

World now become an open competitive market and countries that depend on India are now adopting a first come, first serve policy now

Conutries having bilateral rel with I 's n are working in parallel w/o coordinating with each other

eg - in Nepal, the Britain, Japan, US and India had their own dev cooperation programmes w/o coordination - benefitted China in bringing Nepal into its side

recent challenges in relationship

25 Bangladehsis killed in first 6 months in 2020 along border by Indian forces

the unresolved Teesta - water dispute

1/3rd length in B and remaining in Sikkim and WB,

B wants 50% of its water supply esp in months b/w DEc and May annually

CAA and activities associated with NRC - unnccesesary by b PM

China - revamping up infrast investments and expanding economic coop in B to sway B from I

way forward

I to take broader view of changing scenario and growing competition in South Asia and to reach out B with an open mind

Nepal

after I independence

Treaty of Peace and Friendship 1950

Defence cooperation

has many bilateral insitutional dialogue mechanisms

bedrock of special relations that exists b.w two

Nepalese citizens avail facilities and opportunities on par with Indian citizens

Gorkha regiment of Indian Army partly recruited from Nepal

Military exercise

SURYA, KIRAN

issues

sep 2015 new C adopted

India not happy - because not adequate safeguards for Madhesis

2019 cartographic aggression by Nepal

by publishing map portraying disputed areas of Lipulekh, Limpiyadhura and Kalapni as its territory

2019

India gave $450 million line of credit

India gave priority to its relations with SL under its Neighbourhood First Policy

India concerned about Tamils in Sri Lanka

Rel is imp in order to tackle the geopolitical interest of China in IOR

border

4000 km long

covers western sector (Ladakh), middle sector (HP,Uk) and eastern sector (Sikkim and McMohan line of ARp)

Disputes

Disputes wrt Western and Middle boundary

1964- PAk - ceded a part of Indian territory in PoK to China

China administers Aksai Chin - part of Ladakh

China occupies more than 38000 sq km in Ladakah

Eastern Boundary

Shimla Accord

b/w B India Tibet and China - proposed boundary b/w Tibet and North India - by Henry Mc Mohan

China officially dont agree with it

Timeline

1950

India - became first non socialist bloc country to establish diplomatic rel with PRC

1962 I-C conflisct setback

Rajiv Gandhi visit i 2988 - began improvement

1993

Agreement on Maintenance of PEace and Tranquility along LAC

2013-Border Defence Coop Agreement

LAC = eastern, middle and western

positive developments

expansion of Motihari - Amlekhganj petroleum product pipeline

Recently inaauguarted ICP at Birgunj and Biratnagar in Nepal

expected to ease trade and transit

supported India's permanent membership at expand UNSC

One China policy

1949 Chinese civil war

Communists won started ruling mainland China as People's Republic of China

lead to wiping off almost all marine resources

marine sources on Indian side nearly depleted

steps taken

SL govt officially banned bottom trawling

offered Joint patrol with Indian navy

Both govt set up Joint Working group

way forward

By India

scheme on deep sea fishing

Introduced fish farming in Gulf of Manar to increase income of small scale fishermen

reduce dependence on Paly BAy

sustainable fishing practices

alternative employment

Myanmar

2020 military coup

India response

not directly criticizing the army

because India is having very good relation with Myanmar military and they helped India in reducing insurgency in NE states

Significance M has coastal access to BOB and extension to Indian Ocean

M- an important land bridge b/w South and SE Asia

serves as buffer b/w I and C

Western and northern borders of Myanmar connects Bangladesh, China and NE states of I

A rising China which is strengthening its relationship in the Myanmar is a threat to India

Influence in Myanmar will allow China to penetrate India's NE region and control the Bob

projects

BIMSTEC

Kaladan Multimodal project

jo chup jate the Myanmar mein problem karke India mein (drug trafficnking hoti thi also China was part of it

pehle to Myanmar ki military ne mana kiy aIndian soldiers ko ki tum yaha nai aa sakte insurgents se fight karne par baad m woh maan gaye so Myanmar in strategically imp isliye waha us region hum peace bana paye

current

2021 - India abstained from voting in UNHRC resolution wrt prmoting human rights in SL

SL pulled out of a 2009 agreement with India and Japan - for developing East Container Terminal at Colombo Port

BIT

BIT treaty protection now only to investments made before 2017

(estb terms and cond for pvt investment by nationals and companies of one country in another 1997

India terminated it

way forward

I needs to adopt a balanced approach towards BITs

Facilitates Indian investors in defending their investment under international law eg Colombo Port

China's draft FYP - approved first dam to be built on lower reaches of Yarlung Zangbo river

reason - potential of Great bend - waha mast potential h hydropower ka

concerns for India

impaacts on downstream flow

Afghanistan

history

  1. 1979 - Soviet Army invaded Afghanistan in name of protecting communist govt
  1. but it was resisted by several local insurgents groups -Mujahidin - backed by US, /Saudi and PAk
  1. 1980 - Soviet troops withdrew - Mujhaidin victory
  1. Taliban - which originated as hard core religious students movements later become hardocroe religious terrorist organisation
  1. 11 Sep 2001 - A Qaeda terrosrist attack US 9/11 attack
  1. Subsequent military campaign led by US against Al Qaeda and the Taliban govt (T was supporting Al qaeda )
  1. since then US troops are stationed in Af and war still going on

US suffered great losses in Af due to continuous war

  1. US realized that taliban insurgency could not be defeated as long as it enjoys safe and secure sanctuaries in PAk
  1. US changed its track and begin to seek help of PAk in getting Taliban to negotitaing tabke
  1. US Taliban negotiations began in September 2018 and the 2 sides came to an agreement after a series of talk

Feb 2020 - Agreement - at Doha - as frist step toawrds intra Afghan peace deal - US Taliban Peace deal

  1. Mech and anoucnement of timeline for withdrawal of all foreign forces from AFghanistan
  1. Removal of UN and US sanctions on Taliban leaders
  1. both sides promised to support intra- Afghan peace negotiations

but should have moral and legal responsibility of India to stand up for rule of law, Democracy and human rights is Myanmar

Rohingyas

rfeuges who have fled years of atrocities and a genocidal campaign

are stateless aIndo Aryan group who predominantly follow ISlam in Rakhin state

India hasnot signed UN Refuge convention i.e why call them as inflitrators

what I should do

I should allow IIMM to accessthese refugees

Independent Investigate MEch for Myanmar

Un esbtd body - mandated to investigate and build case files for international crimes committed in Myanmar

India should follow Customary international law

let UN high commissioner for refugees in India to access Rohingyas

few countries - Canada, MAldives, Gambia, Netherlands - took this case against M in ICJ

vioalted the genocidal convention

also being investigated by Prosecutor of ICC

India should support these

why?

diplomatic move to satisfy both sides as it effectively amounts to support for neither SL govt nor Tamil NAtional Alliance

India's role

prisoner swap

Taliban to reduce violene and preventing groups Al Qaeda and ISIS Khorasan from operaitng on Afghan terriotory

I and A - strong relationship based on historical and cultural links

I - played significant role in reconstruction and rehab of Afghaistan

Strategic partnership agreement 2011-

assistance to help rebuild Afghanistan's infra and instutions edu and tech assistance

duty free access to Indian market for Afghanistan exports

i says- there should be Afghan led, Afghan owned broad based and inculsive process of peace and reconcialtion

need for long term commitment to Afghanistan by intenrational community

significance- because Afghanistan in future should not become a safe haven for international terrorist who fight against countries including I

click to edit

Why this move?

Neutral stand

China factor 

Inidia's current stand seems like its turning blind eye to human rights violation in SL but on diplomatic front it can be said that this moves itself contanis diplomatitc astuteness that can benefit India in th elong run

SL coming under Chinese influence

SL borrowed heavily from China

to mitigate the influence and earn the trust of the neighbour , India had abstained from voting

did't want to support one go against another

Both SL govt and TNA sought India's support wrt UNHRC resolution

not diminishing Tamil minority;s concern

relations

visible in culture, language , shared values of secularism and democracy

bilateral insti mech

security

trade

commerce

defence

rivers

maritime affairs

Land Boundary agreement - 2105

sharing of river waters

bilateral joint rivers commission is working since 1972 to maximize benefits from common river systems

Ganga water treaty 1996 - sharing of water of river Gangaduring lean season

economic relations

click to edit

cooperation in power sector - B imports power

grant assistance to b - eg

construction of Akhaura - Agartala rail link

Construction of I- B Friendhip pipeline

click to edit

issues

teesta water sharing issue

India has built dams over it this prevents river from supplying irrigation water to b

recently b turned to China seeking i billion USD loan to restore Teesta

border shooting issue - by border security forces on civillans of b aisa unhe lagt ahai

NRC

trade issue

India ka to b largest trading partner hai in SE asia

par Bangladesh ka China hai aur china ne 97% of B imports expempted form duties

India is losing traditional allies - Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal - increasingly tiltted towards China chequue book diplomacy - paisa bolta h re baba

Bhutan bhi kat liya BBIN se

ky akare? - India should bring in the spirit of neigh first policy

wrt Deportatio of refugees

petitoners

Govt

  1. continuous threat of illegal immigrants to India as /india has porous or open land borders with many countries
  1. no because currently 2021 - situation in M not in good shape.
  1. thought I not a singatory on convention of Refugee but still UDHR, ICCPR, /int covenant on rights of child - so /i should follow principle of non refoulment - state should not deport individuals from their jurisdi to another country or place if particular sending state believes that these persons face risk , harm, persecution, torture at country to which they are to be deported
  1. Gambia v/s Myanmar case - ICJ - judgement showed than even international court has taken note of genocide of rohibgiyas in myanmar- and that theier lives are in serious danger if they are deported
  1. seucutiry issues

cenytral govt has powers under foreeigners act of regulating their movts- departure, restrictimg entries

  1. though rights under A -14 and, and 21 available to non c/z. but 19 1 e(righ to settle and rside in this country ) - only to c/z

there is proper procedute that i follows of proper deporation i.e deportation is carried out only when its is confirmed by the country of origin i.e they are persons who are their c/z

Indo-Pacific Region

region spanning from east coast of Africa to Pacific Island States

significance

produces almost 60 % of global GDP

contributes 2/3 rd of global growth

60% of maritime trade passes via its oceans

home to some largest economies outside EU - India, CHina, Japan

is at forefront of digital economy and tech dev

central to global value chains , international trade and investment flows

EU and IP

its is extensively engaged in the region and is one of the major partners

among the top investors, top dev assistance providers and big trading partners

and IP is vital for EU's economic growth

Pakistan

2008 - Agreement on Consular acesss

Ramesh Taba Sosa - arrested by Pak for allegedly entering PAkistani waters- died recently their only

Consular access (embassy access) to be provided within 3 months to nationals of one country under arrest, detention or imprisonment in other country

both govt agree to release and repatriate persons within 1 month of confirmation of their national status and completion of sentences

w/0 consular access nationality of the person cannot be confirmed, w/o which the repatriation process cannot begin

drawback

does not state a time limit for confirmation of the national identity

solution

other cases -

Vaaga Chauhan case - terms of agreement on consular access not respected

Latif Chauhan Sama's case - not given consular access yet

Revival of Joint Judicial Committee on Prisoners in 2007

consists of 4 retd judges from each side - I and P

had played a significant role in timely release and repatriation of prisoners

yeh bhi nahi pata ba to mortal remains kab milenge uski family ko - this is grave violations of human rights

effects on indi -

mental trauma

agony

pressure

2 baar milti thi saal mein to meet prisoners

but currentlt discontinued

efforts were made to revive it but Pak is yet to nominate judge or call for a meeting

can help innocent Indian prisoners who are stucked in PAk prison to get consular accesss and other rights and finally come back to their home country India

2006 - Education Exchange Programme EEP

Questions

Covid has given us a lot of challenges as well as opportunities. Analyse this statement in context of i-c bilateral relationship

Vaccine diplomacy

Vaccine MAitri

by India - a humanitarian initiative to provide vaccines to other countries

via it India was presenting itself as better alternative to China particularly in region of South Asia

to increase its soft power and control on other countries

backtrack vaccine diplomacy

BUT after impact of second wave - massive suffering + public criticism -- backtrack vaccine diplomay and stopped honouring the existing contractual commitments to supply vaccine to its friendly neighbours

so Bangladesh and SL - started procuring from China

Also China ne ek meeting ki with all South Asian countries except India

China mauke pe chaukka maar raha ha

also affected credibility of Quad grouping

as the QUAD countries - pledged to deliver a billion doses of COVID vaccines throughout IOR by 2022 - a move to counter China's influence in IOR

but this backtrack might lead to Chinese influence in IOR

during first wave I -was seen as emergent power in global scenario

but as we failed to anticipate and deal with second wave - diminshed India's aura as emergent power

Weak India - less attractive as a partner globally

makes us more dependent on US to deal with China

i- c relation

China's efforts - largely confined to pvt companies and charities and not directly helping India govt

Pandemic has provided opportunities for two Asian giants to work together but both countries - focused on boosting their own image

to ab dono ka trust build kaise hoga?

Hambantota port

aka Ruhunu Magampura International port

concerns

if China will control it - it will have a good position in eastern Indian Ocean

inhibit India'a navy's deployment options

way ahead

I - adapt itself to the presence of China at Indian Ocean and should respond and prepare accordingly

SL -China

intro -

since last decade China paying renewed attention to its ties with Sri LAnka

Huge rise in CHinese investments in SL

click to edit

How China is supporting SL

Diplomatic support n charges of human rights violations after civil war

2014 - Xi - visited SL - first visit by any Chinese PResident in 28 years -- shows focus of CHina in SL

What SL is doing in return?

helps China to enhance its influence in South Asian region

recent

China-SL - friendship hospital opened

Rajapaksa regime is closer to China

supplied arms and defence equipments to SL Army during Elam war - thats how their relations grew after 2009

started their DEbt diplomacy in Colombo

definition -China extends huge loans and in return they expect some diplomatic favors from the recipeint country

dikkat kya hai ?

high interest rates - country receiving the debt sleepwalks into a trap - not able to repay so country invariably starts obeying the country that gave the debt.

eg

construction of Hambantota Port

India's concern (due to increasing warmth b/w SL and C

strategic interests

in both Hambantota and Colombo port -

I is worry about C investment in ports in Indian Ocean as it might be part of China's String of Pearl strategy - ensuring its maritime domination in region

Indian companies use Colombo port (imp both economiclly and strategically ) for unloading of cargo