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Plotting your scenarios, Bibliography - Coggle Diagram
Plotting your scenarios
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Finding a few plots
Describes
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Composition of the team
Should be
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Present: finance, R&D, manufacturing, marketing, and
different executive levels
Decision focus
Begins
Identify, discuss and develop a clear understanding of useful questions to ask about the decision
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The inductive approach
Has
2 variants
Emblematic Events
Starts with individual events or plot elements, and spins larger stories around these seeds
A group can build a scenario that will
have future consequences that call for some strategic decisions in the present
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The deductive approach
prioritize the long list of key factors and driving trends in order to find the two
most critical uncertainties
One method, quick and dirty, is to awars every participant 25 poker chips (real or virtual) and ask each person to assign all 25 chips to different forces on the list
More chips for forces of greater importance and uncertainty and fewer or no chips for forces of lesser importance and uncertainty
Accelerates the discussion by narrowing the group's focus to the 2 most critical forces, which then become teh axes of a 2 x 2 scenario matrix
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