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Modeling covid-19 - Coggle Diagram
Modeling covid-19
Data
Datasheets
Nº Infections per day
Nº Deaths per day
Nº Recovered people per day
Restrictions and laws
Social distancing rate
Covid infection rate
Covid letality
Incubation time
Age infection info graphs
Reinfection studies
Asymptomatic spread
what can we figure out ?
Ways to "lower" the curve
How to directly attack the main "spreading" facts
Effectiveness of the public actions already in place
The danger when it comes to "live normally" again
Local trends of the ODE
predictions of the long term consequences of the public actions already in place
How reinfection can affect the spread of the disease
Techniques used
Geograbra modeling
Python ODE analysis
SEIRD based ODE
ODE System (SEIRD)
Population Division
Susceptible
Exposed
Infected
Recovered
Dead
Assumptions
Population remains constant
Infectives recover/die at a constant rate
Constants
Death rate
Incubation constant
Recover rate
Contact constant
Exposed infecting Susceptible
Reinfection rate
People that get exposed transmit the virus but are asymptomatic