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What do I think is the most important thing to work on?, What would make…
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What would make me think that we need to focus loads on the meta stuff, e.g. GPR?
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We should focus on x-risk reduction, but need to do research in order to be able to do this
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If yes
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Tentatively, I think it's likely that something here is the most important thing
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No
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If bad enough it might give a reason to specifically want there to not be a future, but this seems dangerous, and like a conclusion I don't want nor should accept easily...
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No
Only if the effects wash out, so that the EV becomes about the same. (Cluelessness wihtout evidential symmetry wouldn't lead to this conclusion necessarily). And our best shot at improving the world is to improve the short term. Seems largely unlikely?
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Tentatively, I think it's likely that something here is the most important thing
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All of these are likely to have longterm effects, but unlikely to be optimised for the best longterm effects
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