Chance

Foundation

Year One

Outcomes

Describe them

'will happen'

'won't happen'

'might happen'

Year Two

Events

Activities

Outcome

likely

unlikely

certain

impossible

Year Three

Experiments

identify

describe

outcomes

outcomes

variations

variations

Year Four

Describe

Identify

Everyday events where
one cannot happen
if the other happens

Chance

Events

Possibility

Order

Chance of occuring

Year Five

List

Outcomes of experiments

Likely Outcomes

Represent Probability

Fractions

Recognise

Probability range (from 0 to 1)

Year Six

Describe

Probabilities

Using fractions

Using decimals

Using percentages

Conduct

Experiments

Large numbers

Small numbers

Technology

No technology

Compare

Frequencies

Across experiments

Expected frequencies