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DESIGN OF PROSPECTIVE SCENARIOS (PROSPECTIVE DEFINITION (The size of a…
DESIGN OF PROSPECTIVE SCENARIOS
PROJECTION AND CONSTRUCTION OF THE FUTURE
(DEFINE SCENES)
The scenarios are an indispensable tool to guide the
strategic decisions
Formal strategic planning is based on a number of observations made about the direction and success in companies of all kinds.
The essence of strategic planning:
Systematic identification of future opportunities and dangers
Combine them with other important data
Make decisions in the present
Planning is designing a desired future and identifying the way to achieve it.
Conceptual Model: Presents an idea or image of what something should be. It is a guide for proper operation in practice
Operational model is the one used in companies
OBJECTIVE AND BENEFIT
Very efficient management know how to develop systems that adapt to their needs.
An educational company to develop objectives, strategies and general policies provides a basis for executives at lower levels can make their decisions according to top management.
PROSPECTIVE DEFINITION
The size of a company is an important dimension to determine the type of system that it can adopt
The way in which schools are organized will influence the planning system (centralized or decentralized organization)
The complexity of the environment also influences in an important way curricular designs.
The style of the senior manager will have a significant effect on the planning systems
The objectives sought with a planning system represent an important element
FACTOR FORECASTING PROCESS
Directors who oppose the planning of their activities indicate several reasons in support of their antipathy
The first step toward solving a problem is to recognize it.
Group decision-making can be superior to individual decisions, since different points of view are expressed and evaluated.
GOALS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE FUTURE TOWARDS THIS
Importance of goals and objectives:
Goals provide a sense of direction.
The goals allow us to focus our efforts.
Goals guide our plans and decisions.
The goals serve to evaluate our progress.
The objectives or goals are the goals pursued through an activity of one kind or another.
INVESTMENT COST
Determine the least expensive means for the fulfillment of an objective or for obtaining the highest value given certain expenses.
Cost-benefit analysis is a technique for choosing the best plan when the objectives are less specific than sales, costs or profits.
Non-quantifiable objectives can be subject to very specific measures of effectiveness.
Cost estimates can include both monetary and non-monetary costs
DEVELOPMENT ALTERNATIVES
Experience: The right decisions must be evaluated on the basis of future events, while the experiences are restricted to the past.
Experimentation: is to try one of the alternatives to see what happens.
Research and analysis: This method involves the resolution of a problem through its prior knowledge in detail.
ACTUAL NEEDS
Managers should be willing to contribute to the establishment of objective performance measures through both the analysis of qualifying results and the measurement of individuals' capacities.
The principle of control holds that the higher the quality of managers and their subordinates, the less direct controls will be necessary.
The development of new knowledge and the demand by the social forces of administrators to make use of them greatly increase the risk that administrators become obsolete for the fulfillment of their tasks.