Service life prediction of concrete sructures

LCC (life-cycle cost), a methodology that accounts for the total cost of building elements during their life cycle

studies apply an average service life value for a given building element, without considering the specific conditions that it will be subjected to, thus introducing additional uncertainty

the service life of any given element may vary significantly from building to building, since each building is a prototype that responds to unrepeatable conditions.

Categories

(i) Physical service life

(ii) Functional service life

(iii) Economic service life

Degradation agents (whether physical, chemical or mechanical) and the natural ageing process. design and construction errors, or the application of inadequate materials.

The functional service life is directly related with the
expectations and demands of the users.

Economic service life can be defined as the time elapsing since the construction is placed into use until the instant that it is replaced by a more profitable solution.

Methodologies for Service Life Prediction

Deterministic Models

Stochastic Models
(probabilistic methods)

Engineering Models

Three main drawbacks

  1. complexity of the mathematical expressions
  2. large amount of data required necessary to validate the model, which should preferably be collected over a long period of time.
  3. the great dependence of the fieldwork.

Most literature focus one type of material only—usually reinforced concrete—subjected only to a degradation agent (usually chloride attack)

Studies

Markov chains

Markovian transition matrix

Trend plots method

MEDIC method : evaluating the residual service life of the buildings

Advantages:

  1. Easy to understand and apply;
  2. can be easily implemented, and maintain their operability even when all the variables related to the modelled phenomena are unknown.

Disadvantages:

  1. Unable to capture the random nature of the degradation phenomena.
  2. Does not provide any information regarding the degradation process or related to the probability of transition from one degradation condition to another

Empirical methods have been developed to evaluate the durability under real conditions of service

The European project Energy Performance Indoor Environment Quality Retrofit (EPIQR)

Methods

Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA)

Performance Limits method: to evaluate the durability of
building components by simulating their performance over time.

Factorial method

Engineering models possess an acceptable level of
complexity and are implemented using probabilistic data, leading to simple deterministic equations

Types

Multiple non-linear regression analysis

Multiple linear regression analysis:

Simple regression analysis (linear and non-linear)

Types

Markov chains

Logistic regression

Computational models

Types

Fuzzy logic systems.

Artificial neural networks

Factor models

Types

Classic approach

Stochastic approach:

Test

Destructive

Non Destructive