POL 130 Final Prompt 7: Security Dilemma and Bargaining model (Bargaining…
The security dilemma and the bargaining model of war each argue that uncertainty is an important cause of war. But they differ in their views of how uncertainty causes conflict, and the exact type of uncertainty that leads to war. First, explain these differences. Second, evaluate what these theories mean for the likelihood of war on the Korean peninsula. Is conflict with North Korea more likely to result from security dilemma dynamics, or “bargaining failure” as predicted by the bargaining model?
The difference between the two is that the security dilemma believes that its the uncertainty of intentions that leads to war, while the bargaining model believes that its the uncertainty of power or resolve that leads to war. For SD, the fear of being attacked is enough to make the state engage in preemptive war. For BM, an actor was over estimate his ability and start a war. I think the answer is more so security dilemma than bargaining model because its much more likely that a war will start because we don't know of their motives than because we don't know how powerful they are/arent