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POL 130 Final Prompt 4: Neo-Cold War (Will the US and China engage in a…

- - - - why? what are they preparing for? War?
        
        China also possess a modest arsenal of nuclear weapons that are capable of hitting the US and Europe
    - - The US is also technologically ahead
        
        And it has a MUCH larger nuclear arsenal
        
        But still, the gap between the two countries may shrink over time
  - - - Rise of Germany in the 20th century was met with two of the costliest wars in history
      - However, there definitely are cases in which this isnt true
        
        For example, the transition of power between Britain and the US was fairly peaceful. And there was no conflict when Japan rose to power
        
        Why does It only sometimes end peacefully?
        
        This is mainly because of states' interest: how severely their interests conflict and how costly it is to use military power to force change
- - - - The state is the dominant actor
      - States seek security and/or power
      - States' interests are generally in conflict
    - - International politics is primarily about bargaining, in which coercion always remains a possibility
    - - The international system is anarchic and institutions exert little independent effect
      - International institutions reflect the interest of powerful states
- - - - To do this, you would have to give China a larger say in international organizations, and make it feel included
        
        It increases the benefits that china gets from these institutions, so that its motivated to stay in these institutions
        
        Moves the status quo in chinas favor and increases the costs of war relative to the benefits
    - - Wealth and trade will give rise to a potent middle class that demand political liberalization
        
        In this case, China's rise could be as benign as the rise of the US or Japan