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Geography Lecture 2 (Additional Information (Proxy evidences are used as…
Geography Lecture 2
Additional Information
Proxy evidences are used as we do not have 1st hand evidence of climate change
Iceland March 2007 to February 2009
2 years
Solheimajokull Glacier
Alaska: Mendenhall Glacier
3 years and 7 months
Alaska: Columbia Glacier
Calving face
Even retreats in winter
2.5 miles in 3 years
James Balog:
Photographer and climate change activist
Yukon Territory:
1400 Glaciers
4 grew and 300 disappeared
The rest retreated
1. The Geological Time Scale
Ice Ages (Glacial Periods)
Over the past 800,000 years, there have been 6 to 7 regular glacial advances and interglacial retreats
Pleistocene and Holocene
Pleistocene is the last epoch, about 2,588,000 to 11,700 years ago
The Holocene refers to the past 11,700 years. The Earth has been relatively warm and major ice sheets have retreated (interglacial period)
Proxy indicators of climate change
Evidence from Oceans (global)
Foraminifera
In ice ages, water is frozen and thus removed from the oceans. This leads to a reduction in concentration of ¹⁶O isotopes in the water.
The freezing of ice caps not only lead to a decrease in sea level, it also changed the chemical composition of the oceans
This change in composition causes the foraminifera to change the chemical composition of their shells. When they die, their shells fall to the ocean floor and accumulate as ocean sediment
By extracting cores of ocean sediment, we can study the chemical compositions (calcium carbonate) of the shells of foraminifera, and thus infer the temperature of the ocean during that period of time
Evidence from lakes (local)
Pollen Grains
Pollen grains are extremely resistant to decay and are unique for every plant species
As pollen grains fall from plants into closed-system lakes, the grains becomes lake sediment
Thus, cores of lake sediment can tell us what kind of vegetation lived near the lake at specific points in time and thus tell us the climate of the region during that time
Diatoms
The type of diatom present in the water depends on the salinity of the water. If the salinity of the lake changes, the diatoms present in the lake will change as well. This will be recorded in the lake sediments as they die and accumulate at the lake bed
Diatoms can only be used as a proxy evidence in a closed-basin lake (no outlet)
Ice Cores (global)
Isotopic composition
The higher the ratio of ¹⁶O to concentration of ¹⁸O, the colder the air was then the snow precipitated from the clouds
Greenhouse Gasses
Ice-core records also contain small pockets of greenhouse gasses. By extracting ice cores, we can analyze the gasses and reconstruct how the composition of the atmosphere was like at that time
Limitations
Ice Cores
Limited accuracy of temperatures derived from oxygen isotope
The large volume of water stored in ice sheets altered the isotope composition of the oceans
Increasing elevation of ice sheets would be expected to cause a decrease in temperatures
Oceans
The sediments may have been disturbed since the time which it was formed
Lakes
There may be a time lag between the change in climate and the organism's response
2. Climatic Changes Throughout Geologic Time
:warning:
Years before present(BP)
:warning:
21000 :
Last glacial maximum
15000 :
Rapid Lateglacial warming
12900-11500 :
Young Dryas cold event
10000 :
Average climate similar to today's’
8200 :
8200BP cooling event
7000-5000 :
Climatic optimum
1250-700 :
“Medieval warm period”
400-150 :
“Little Ice Age” Period
Pleistocene & Holocene
Last Glacial Maximum (21000BP)
The most recent ice age reached its maximum severity 21000 years ago.
Most of the British Isles were covered with glaciers up to 300m thick. Icebergs were found as far as Spain
Lateglacial Interstadial (15000BP)
A sudden and drastic warming took place. In a few hundred years, the temperatures rose rapidly to levels close to today's.
Young Dryas cold event (12900-11500BP)
Ice caps grew and extended over Scotland, and mean annual temperatures were at -8 degrees
Started very suddenly at 12900BP
Ended very suddenly at 11500BP
Holocene (10000BP)
Temperatures were around 8 degrees cooler than today's
8200BP cooling event
Sudden dip of 6 degrees, lasting for 200 years.
Climatic optimum (7000-5000BP)
Temperatures were 2 degrees higher than today's
Medieval Warm period (1250-700BP)
Vineyards were as far North as York
Wetter summers and later frosts coincided with the Black Death
Little Ice Age (400-150BP)
Glacial expansion in the Alps
Summary
12000-6000BP
Higher atmospheric pressure
Higher lake levels due to higher evaporation and rainfall
Hippos and humans in Sahara
Rainforest in Australia
6000BP to now
Desiccation in Sahara
Falling lake levels due to increased temperatures and aridity
Tropical rainfall is suppressed
Rainforest in Australia retreats
3. Why do climates vary over time?
Feedbacks
Fast feedback kicks in once temperature changes. Fast feedback increases direct warming by up to 2.5x. Foe example, water vapor is a fast feedback
Slow feedback takes time to be felt. For example, growth/destruction of ice sheets and natural greenhouse gases
Positive feedback strengthens warming
Negative feedback weakens warming
Clouds
Clouds reflect about 1/3 of Earth's insolation. A warmer climate would cause more clouds to form, reflecting more insolation, thus reducing the warming effect
Precipitation
Precipitation increases with increased water vapor in a warmer atmosphere, but not in all regions, some will dry out. Changes in precipitation may cause an increase in plant growth, thus removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
Greening of forests
Natural processes, such as tree growth, remove about half of human carbon dioxide emissions. Changes in plant growth can lead to more plants removing more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
Ice albedo
Ice reflects much insolation. As the atmosphere warms, ice melts into water. This reduces the albedo and less insolation is reflected, thus warming the Earth further
Tipping Points
Ice Loss
If enough ice melts, Earth would absorb more and more heat. This is as there is no more ice to reflect the heat. We may hit a point of no return, and this would cause many people living near coasts to be affected
Release of Methane
Deposits of frozen methane within the permafrost. As the world warms and permafrost thaws, the gas would be released and thus cause further warming
Ocean Circulation
If the Gulf Stream fails, it would cause significant cooling in Western Europe (5-10 degrees). This may potentially lead to a global catastrophe
Forcings
Positive forcings = Warm
Negative forcings = Cool
External Forcings
Solar Irradiance
The amount of insolation reaching the Earth
The Sun has an 11-year sunspot cycle, causing about 0.1% of the variation in Solar output
Milankovitch Cycles
i. Eccentricity of orbit
The cycle takes about 96,000 years. There is a 3% difference between aphelion and perihelion. This means the Earth receives 6% more energy in January than in July. At most elliptical, the insolation at perihelion is 20-30% more than aphelion
iii. Precession of the Equinoxes
The cycle takes 23,000 years.
Today, the Earth is tilted at 23.5 degrees, pointing at Polaris.
At the other end, the Earth will point at Vega. This would cause the seasons to flip
ii. Axial Tilt
The axial tilt of Earth today is about 23.5 degrees
Smaller angle = cooler
Limitations
Foraminifera do not represent a pure sea level record. They are also affected by deep sea temperature changes. For example, Skinner and Shakleton(2005) showed that the isotope record for the end of the last glacial appears to be 2200 years earlier than the likely timing
The expected changes in temperature caused by orbital forcing are too small to explain the ice expansions, thus other forcings must be at play
Milankovitch Cycles show a smooth change, but the curve is in a sawtooth pattern
Albedo
Aerosols :
Greenhouse Gases :
Internal Forcings
Volcanic activity
Volcanoes hurl large amounts of volcanic matter into the atmosphere, reflecting sunlight and causing net cooling. For example in 1815, Mount Tambora in Indonesia erupted, killing 90,000 people and ejecting 50km^3 of rock 40km into the atmosphere.
Fluctuations in oceanic activity
Changes to biosphere and cryosphere
Tectonic activity
Continental positions, sizes and configuration of ocean basins are the result of crustal processes. These processes have also changed the size and location of mountains and plateaus, thus changing the pattern of ocean circulation and surface currents.
Over the last million years, the uplift of the Tibetan plateau and the Himalayan ranges has caused the intensification of desert conditions in Western China and Central Asia