CPI inflation

April

Upside risk

CPI 2.99 %

Inflation in fuel and light segment 6.1 %

food and beverage growth - 1.3 %

May 5.5 %

IIP Expand - 3.1 %

March 3.75 %

clothing and footware segment - 4.4 %

May 4.6 %

housing segment - same 4.8 %

increase in house rent segment in CPI

implementation of GST

announcement of large farm waiver

  • higher deficit in states

Gong forward

CPI expected to sub 2 % in next 2 months , will stay below 4 % till november

SBI study

CBI inflation average in FY18 3.5 %

Manufacturing sector 2.6 % in april

2.7 % in march