Chp 23 : Theories of Economic Growth and Development

Joseph Aloi Schumpeter

What is growth?

Economic growth is the increase of nation real output

Improvement in the quality of resources

Technological advances that boost productivity

Greater quantities of natural resources,human resources and capital

Development

Economic development is process by which a nation enhances its standard of living over time

The economic standard of living is often defined as GDP per capita

Growth and Development Models

Harrod and Domar- Keynesian Growth

Solow- Neoclasssical growth

Shumpeter- economic development and institutional change

Nurkse, Lewis, Schultz- theories of economics development

Sir Roy Harrod & Evsey Domar

Evsey Domar

Domar has made contribution in three main areas of economics: economic growth, comparative economics and economics history

His work on economic growth began with his 1944 model on government debt, which considered how economic growth can lighten the burden of the governement debt

Harrod-Domar Growth Model

Harrod Domar growth model as a way of extending the Keynesian demand-determined equilibrium into long run.

Capacity Creating Effect of Investment

Domar noted that net investment spendingadds to the nation stock of capital,increase the economy capaciy and raises its potential level of income.

Change in productive capacity will depend on the level of Investment I and the potential social average productivity of new investment

Demand-Creating effect of Investment

Investment spending in new period must exceed the amount in previous period if the added potential income arising from that past investment

Requirement for Balanced growth

Domar defined balanced growth as a rate of income growth at which full employment of resources is maintained over time.

The economy must grow in order to maintain full employment of its resources

To achieved balanced growth, investment must increase at a rate equal to the product of the potential average productivity of investment and propensity

Robert M. Solow

Production, Labor Force and Investment

In short run, if an increase in labor, given fixed capital stock yields diminishing return and vice versa

In long run, production function shows constant return to scale. Eg: capital and labor increase by 1 percent,output also increase by 1 percent

established aggregate production function where

technology is constant

capital stock and labor input is changes

If capital per worker is remain constant

the growth of capital stock is net investment (gross investment-depreciation)

rise in net investment (nK) must equal to the growth of labor force

the rate of growth of the capital stock (K) = the growth of the labor force (n)

Saving and Actual Investment

Saving is proportional to income (MPS=APS)

Because of net investment absorbs all saving in the economy

The Steady-State Point

The curve shape reflect diminishing return. why?

Then, multiplied by a constant saving rate, mean smaller increase in saving

Therefore, actual investment rises at diminishing rate as capital per worker increase

Each added unit of capital per worker contributes smaller added increments of output.

At a steady-safe point, actual investment=balanced investment

according to Solow, the actual investment could be either smaller or larger than balance investment

If the actual investment exceeds balanced investment, capital per worker increases and vice versa so,the economy would adjust the relative amount of capital and labor to achieve steady state point

Technological Progress

Technological progress important in order to achieve higher standard of living

In his paper work 'Technological Change and the Aggregate Production Function' 1957, the growth model showed increased in labor and capital inputs explained less than half of economic growth

Improved production techniques

Improved in quuality of labor and capital

The balance is explained from technological progress

He argued those daring spirit, entrepreneurs, created technical and financial innovation in the face of competition and falling profits

Economic Development

The key process is the innovation, and the central innovator is entrepreneur

Without innovation economic life would reach static equlibrium and its circular flow would follow essentially the same channels year after year

Schumpeter construvted a theoretical system to explain both business cycle and the theory of economic development

Decay of Capitalism

He rejected Ricardian emphasis on the role of diminishing return and malthusian population principle

Also denied Marx's contention that economic contraditions would produce sucessively more severe crises

The obsolescence entrepreneurial function

The entrepreneural function is growing obsolete,thus economic and social foundations of capitalism are crumbling

Technological progress is increasinglybecoming the business of teams of trained specialist who turn out what it required and make it work in predictable ways

Destruction of political strata

He agree with idea of Marx that big business destroys small and medium sized firm. In democratic politics,this process weakens the political position

Destruction of Instituional Framework

Ragnar Nurkse

Nurkse argued that the poor countries are to advance, they must rely increasingly on industrilization instead of primarily on production and export of raw materials

the rich countries show advances in real income per capita,yet they are not transmitting their won rate og growth to rest of the world