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Thinking & Reasoning (Reasoning (Errors (Affirming the consequent,…
Thinking & Reasoning
Reasoning
Inductive
Observations-Conclusion
Deductive
'Facts'-Conclusion
Modus Ponens
x therefore y
Modus Tollens
not y therefore not x
Errors
Affirming the consequent
Denying the antecedent
Wason Selection task
Mitroff 1974
- Lunar geologists confirming own theories
Judgements & Heuristics
Heuristics
Mood
Availability
Representativeness
Base rate neglect
Probability=similarity
Judgements
Conjunction rule
More compelling narrative
Halo effect (Solomon Asch)
First impressions count
Narrative fallacy
Hindsight bias
Regression to the mean