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Critically assess the usability of spatial analysis for explaining how…
Critically assess the usability of spatial analysis for explaining how voters behave in Western democracies.
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Theory
Voting Behaviour
Sociological Theory - group membership, networks, sharing of information.
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Institutional Features
Turnout higher when compulsory voting, weekend polling, postal voting and automatic registration.
Salience of institutions matter - notice-ability, education.
Higher turnout when - election will determine formation of a government, where political authority is divided.
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Trends
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Party dealignment, decline of union membership, declining trust.
Cases
UK
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Youth
Divide in what people vote for - young vote left, old are right wing.
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Brexit Turnout - according to LSE 64% - highest in two decades, mostly remain. Initial poll suggested 34%.
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2015 - Highest in Scotland with 71.1%, lowest in Northern Ireland with 58.1%
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Sharp decline between 1992 and 2001, since risen slightly.
Peak in 1950 at 83.9%.
EU Comparison
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Highest - Malta, Belgium, Turkey, Sweden
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