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How do we explain why democracy does not take root in some countries?…
How do we explain why democracy does not take root in some countries? Illustrate your answer by examining at least two cases.
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Cases
Egypt
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Military competing for political power - coup started, Brotherhood alliance with military, legitimised military interference.
Failure of political body to manage transition - alliance led to authoritarian ideas, mismanagement by inexperienced political leaders, failure to create a broad consensus.
Libya
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International interference - little US aid, outside military support sharpened divisions, Western pressure led to inefficient unity government, West pushed for an elected government too soon,
Arbitrary violence - between regions, swelling of militias, divided security.
Mismanagement - elected government unable to resolve issue of reforming old military and unity government unable to cope with political challenges.
Plan
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Structure
- Explanation of the transition paradigm.
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Comparative Research
Hypotheses
That independent variable X (explanation) leads to dependent variable of unsuccessful democratic transition.
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Theory of Transition
Stages
- End of Authoritarian Regime
2 Installation of a new, democratic regime.
- Consolidation of democratic regimes.
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Occurs through successful, competitive and fair elections, protecting of civil and political liberties, effective bureaucracies and democratic control over the state.
Assumptions - Carrothers
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Structure determines outcomes, not just elites.