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Irish political party system (Conclusion (smaller parties come and go,…
Irish political party system
Dominated by 2.5 parties - ff, fg, labour
centre right and left. no extreme parties
Fine Gael - protreaty party
rural support and fiscally conservative
Garrett Fitzgerald - social democrat - divorce ref
2011 landslide; enda kenny
Fianna Fail - anti-treaty
in power for 58 of 77 years
populist and pragmatic
grassroots/ cumann
dev, lemass, haughey, ahern
Labour - oldest party 1912
roots in unions and workers right
pro and ant coalition factions - inhouse fighting
Spring Tide 1992
coalition with FF
big losses in 1997
Gilmore Gael 2011
coalition with fine gael
2016- massive losses
Sinn Fein - NI
Good Friday Agreement
Support growth in the South
Grassroots model
Younger and dissafected voters
5 seats in 2002. and gains ever since
still not enought to form a gov
coalition not a runner - yet
barriers to success
legacy of the conflict
competition from other anti-establishment parties
Independentss
23 elected in 2016
3 groupings formed
INdependent Alliance
INdependents 4 change
rural alliance
Shane Ross - now Minister for Transport
Influence - support required by government
Other small parties
Green Party
Gains. coalition in 2007
Big losses in 2011
1 seat won back in 2016
AAA-PBP
Formed in recession
anti-establishment
competition for sinn fein voters
paul murphy tallaght seat
Pat leahy vote for programme or protest vote
Social democrats
ex labour Roisin Shorthall
Stepehn Donnelly
ethics agenda
Conclusion
smaller parties come and go
unstable coalitions
voters not loyal anymore
civil war politics dying out
current gov unstable. minority led with fianna fail support
Issues -brexit; water charges, abortion
Fianna fail gains in 2016
fianna fail 2021? sinn fein coalition?
Coakley (2010) all bets are now off when it comes to predicting coalition formation.”