How to Draw Demand and Supply Zones
- A CP has 3 features, ERC + BASE + ERC.
- Make sure the CPs you locate have ERC candles on both legs
- When in doubt, ignore the CP, it has to be clear
- CPs have to be clear pauses in the market, they can be basing candles or Marubozu candles
- Single basing candle
- Several baing candles which are not wicky
- Candle prior to the basing is close, it's advisable to add more wiggle room
1. Look for 50% candles and tight bases
2. Locate mother candles and watch if next child candles (inside candles, haramis, dojis, spinning tops) close above/below the mother candle’s open/close and makes a lower low (higher high) above below the mother candle's price range
3. If price closes above/below mother candle, it will negate a CP and will make it a Valley/Peak
4. Bullish/bearish engulfing patterns are common as CPs, there is a video that explains how to draw them here
5. Marubozu candles are not 50% candles but they can be part of a CP if they are at a good location or attained an important event (took out an important HTF zone or flip zone)
Remember this Importance
- Always look at what a CP has accomplished, not only a CP, but any potential SD zone
- If the CP has not taken out an opposing zone, it's too wide and too wicky, you can't see it's a clear pause in the market, don't draw it, don't trade it, forget about it
- The sames CP rules apply to PCPs, which are potential CPs without the second leg's imbalance
DEPARTURE IS KEY:
- We need at least 2 ERC candles closing at its high or near its high (80% of the candle range) when price leaves the level
FEATURES A GOOD BASE MUST HAVE:
- Maximum 4-6 candles in the base. No matter which timeframe
- Tight candle bases with bodies <= 50% of the candle range
- Strong departure, 2nd leg (IMPULSE) with at least 2 ERC candles closing at its high or near its high (about 80% of the whole candle range)
- Exceptions:
A) the 50% body rule does not apply to CP (continuation patterns). Many good CP patterns are made of marubozu candles
B) Engulf patterns
DO NOT CONSIDER A BASE THAT:
- Has only doji candles as a base. Doji + Gap is considered valid
- Has more than 6 candles
- Has wicky candles (long tails and/or wicks), they are normally reactions to previous levels
FRESH LEVEL:
- A fresh level is a level which price has not retested yet (pulled back to it)
ORIGINAL LEVEL:
- An original level is a level which is not a reaction to any previous level, a level that has been created on a blank area on the charts out of the blue
- Thus an original level can be fresh, but a fresh level does not necessarily need to be original
WHEN AND HOW TO USE FRESH AND ORIGINAL LEVELS
IN TRENDING MARKETS
- Use always fresh levels with trending markets
- If the fresh level is also original, it’s even better
COUNTER TREND
Use always original levels
Don’t lean on non-fresh or used up levels when trading counter trend
When to extend the proximal/distal lines of a zone to cover the wicks
- Single basing candle
- Several basing candles which are not wicky
- Candle prior to the basing is close, it's advisable to add more wiggle room