Judgment: Drawing Conclusions From Evidence
Judgement Heuristics
Anchoring
Detecting Covariation
Assessing The Damage
The Wide Range of Availability Effects
The Representativeness Heuristic
The Availability Heuristic
Reasoning From the Population to an Instance
Attribution Substitution
What Causes Illusory Covariation?
Base Rates
Theory-Driven and Data-Driven Detection of Covariation
Base-Rates Nelect
Illusions of Covariation
The Importance of Data Format - Frequency
Codable Data
The Importance of Circumstances
Background Knowledge
Dual-Process Models
Training Participants to use Statistics
More-Sophisticated Judgment Strategies
Thinking about Evidence