Please enable JavaScript.

Coggle requires JavaScript to display documents.

INDIA MYANMAR (India-Myanmar (Border - 1643 km, Primarily an agrarian…

- - - - .
        
        Emergence of ARSA: International Crisis Group flagged the emergence of a new insurgent group Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) - led by Rohingya emigres in Saudi Arabia, commanded by Rohingyas on the ground with international training and abreast with modern guerrilla tactics.
        
        It increases the influence of terror organisations like IS - there are reports of linkages between ARSA and IS
      - • Impact on Asia Pacific: The crisis could also adversely impact the Asia Pacific, which is projected to be the economic powerhouse of the near future.
      - • Impact on ASEAN: This crisis has the potential to weaken the ASEAN organization, which until now was considered the most successful regional organization after the EU.
    - - Implications for IndiaPeace and stability in the Rakhine state is important for India’s strategic and economic point of view.
        
        econmic
        
        increased economic burden due to huge refugee influx
        
        Socio economic impact on Indian society
        
        STRATEGIC
        
        • Due to porous border, there are chances that many illegal migrants may land up in India’s North East that may pose serious challenge to already fragile situation in North-East.
        
        • As India faces an uphill task in combating the terror threat in Northeast, ARSA might add a new flavor to ongoing conflicts.
        
        • For India, the problem is that ARSA has a definite Pakistani link, with some reports noting that the group may have been trained there, or even in Afghanistan AND ANALYSIS OF ROHINGYA CRISIS DUE TO CMEC INDIA MIGHT HAVE TO READY FOR 3 FROT WAR FROM 2.5 FRONT WAR
        
        • The continued violence in Rakhine state is affecting India’s Kaladan Multi-modal Transit Transportproject, aimed at developing transport infrastructure in south-west Myanmar and India’s Northeast.
      - .
        
        india's delimma
        
        Why India did not criticize the conduct of Myanmar?
        
        • Under the Neighborhood First and Act East policies, Myanmar assumes a key role to connect with Southeast Asia and cut off China from the Bayof Bengal.
        
        • Myanmar helps India tackle insurgency threats in the latter’s northeastern states.
        
        • A public condemnation of Myanmar will only push it closer to China. Myanmar is anyway dependent on Beijing’s veto in the UN Security Council should the Rohingyas issue reach there.
        
        India’s balancing act with Bangladesh
        
        India has assured Bangladesh for all possible help to tackle the large influx of refugees.
        
        • An unhelpful Indian attitude would only deplete Hasina’s position in Bangladesh and strengthen her rival Khaleda Zia, who is known for taking anti-India stands.
        
        • Like Myanmar, Bangladesh too is important to India’s counter-insurgency efforts and Act East policy.india's
        
        • Operation ‘Insaniyat’: The Ministry of External Affairs has started Operation Insaniyat to provide assistance to Bangladesh in response to humanitarian crisis being faced by it due to large influx of Rohingya refugees from Myanmar.
        
        acc. to harsh v pant: india's action vis as vis is based on keeping in national interest in mind and following ideological basis
        
        but It increases the moral dilemma of GOI where India criticized West for mishandling refugee crisis but now it itself is in same position
        
        india's balacing may have also result of failure of its intervention in tamil refugge crisis
    - - Conclusion - India should not get engaged in the recent crises. Both Myanmar and Bangladesh are very important countries for us and we have to tread very very cautiously and refrain from favouring either. India, however, should provide its good offices for better cooperation between Myanmar and Bangladesh over the issue.
      - • ASEAN has to play the leading role here; it needs to formulate a mechanism to deal with the crisis by equitable distribution of the refugees among member nations
        •
      - The International community can also play a role by lending financial aid to the countries who will house
        the refugees and
      - social and economic integration of rohigya in myannar as held that kofi annan led panel on rohingyas
- - - - China in Myanmar -
        
        China is exploiting the internal ethnic crisis in Myanmar to its advantage:
        rohigya crisis is seen as backdrop of cmec
        
        China has invested heavily in the development of new Capital Naypyidaw
        China developing Kyauk Pyu port;
        operating NG pipeline from Kyauk Pyu - Kunming
        China is the biggest investor - USD 15 billion
        
        The new democratic govt of Myanmar recognises China as blood brother
        
        China is Myanmar's largest trading partner, largest investor of FDI and Aung San Suu Kyi's first foreign visit was to China
      - china building china mayamar economic corridor $ 7.5 billlion investment . and there are fears it is done on model predatory loan like that of hambantota: neoimperialism
    - - Misuse of FMR - iInsurgents for arms and smugglers for drugs; GOLDEN TRIANGLE
        
        free movement regime
        
        It allows tribes residing along the border to travel 16 km across the boundary without visa restriction to allow them to maintain their ethnic ties.
      - Border is poorly managed by Assam Rifles, which is short staffed and performs multiple functions;
      - Totally porous border;
      - Though the border has been demarcated on map through border agreement in 1967 but it has not been delimited on ground which leads to ambiguity;
        
        In 2013, local people protested against India constructing border fence;
  - - - India is also working closely with the security forces of Myanmar to target the insurgentsoperating in the country’s northeast.
      - currently tackling rohingya crisis
    - - Myanmar is at the heart of Indian government’s Act East policy with the India-Myanmar-Thailand Asian Trilateral Highway, the Kaladan multimodal project, a road-river-port cargo transport project, and BIMSTEC.
      - • Myanmar is on India’s energy security radar on account of its “abundant oil and natural gas” reserves. Oil and gas companies ONGC Videsh and GAIL are aggressively scouting for more exploratory blocks in Myanmar.
      - • Myanmar like the other CLMV countries (Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam) — represents a rapidly growing economy with rising consumption, strategic location and access, rich natural resources (oil, gas, teak, copper and gemstones), biodiversity and an industrious workforce with low wages. And it offers significant opportunities for trade in goods and services, investment and project exports.
    - - • Myanmar is expected to act as the bridge between India and ASEAN, has risen in much significance in the context of India's Act East Policy, and good neighborhood policy.
      - Better relations with Myanmar have become crucial for India with China gradually gaining confidence of countries in the region. Further India’s completion of the projects with Myanmar would also prove India to be a responsible regional player, thus improving its reliability.
      - • In terms of security and strategic partnership, several deep sea ports of Myanmar, including Yangon and Dawei, can be crucial for India like Chabahar port in the west.